Game Details
- Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 PM ET (4:30 PM PST).
- Venue: Toyota Center, Houston, TX. This gives the Rockets a strong home-court edge against a Warriors team dealing with significant injuries.
- Broadcast: Amazon Prime Video, NBCS-BA, and NBA League Pass.
The Golden State Warriors (31-30) visit the Houston Rockets (38-22) in a Western Conference matchup. Golden State holds eighth in the West, while Houston sits third, aiming to solidify their playoff seeding.
Recent Team Forms
Golden State is 4-6 in their last 10, on a two-game losing streak, including a 101-114 home loss to the Clippers on March 2 and a 101-129 defeat to the Lakers on February 28.
The Warriors average 110.9 PPG but have defensive lapses, allowing 114+ in recent games. Their pace is moderate, but efficiency drops without key stars.
Houston is 5-5 in their last 10, coming off a 123-118 road win over the Wizards on March 2, where they overcame turnovers with strong rebounding.
The Rockets average 106.8 PPG recently but rank high in assists (top-10) and blocks, with a fast pace leading to transition scoring.
Injury Report
Injuries decimate Golden State, potentially forcing reliance on depth, while Houston manages minor issues.
| Team | Player | Position | Status | Injury Details |
| Golden State Warriors | Jimmy Butler III | F | Out | Right ACL Surgery |
| Golden State Warriors | Seth Curry | G | Out | Left Sciatic Nerve Irritation |
| Golden State Warriors | Stephen Curry | G | Out | Right Patellofemoral Pain Syndrome |
| Golden State Warriors | Moses Moody | G/F | Out | Right Wrist Sprain |
| Golden State Warriors | Gary Payton II | G/F | Questionable | Left Ankle Impingement |
| Golden State Warriors | Kristaps Porzingis | C | Out | General Illness |
| Golden State Warriors | Will Richard | G | Out | Right Ankle Sprain |
| Houston Rockets | Steven Adams | C | Out | Left Ankle Surgery |
| Houston Rockets | Alperen Sengun | C | Questionable | Illness |
| Houston Rockets | Amen Thompson | G | Questionable | Right Ankle Injury |
| Houston Rockets | Jabari Smith Jr. | F | Questionable | Right Ankle Sprain |
| Houston Rockets | Jae’Sean Tate | F | Out | Knee |
| Houston Rockets | Tristen Newton | G | Out | G League – Two-Way |
Golden State’s absences remove their top scorers (Curry 27.2 PPG, Butler 20.0 PPG), severely impacting offense.
Houston misses Adams’ rebounding, but Durant’s presence (26.3 PPG) covers if Sengun sits.
Key Player Matchups
With Golden State’s injuries, matchups favor Houston’s stars:
- Brandin Podziemski (GSW) vs. Amen Thompson (HOU, if active): Podziemski (12.4 PPG, 5.1 RPG, 3.7 APG) leads Golden State’s offense sans Curry, but Thompson’s athleticism (17.4 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 1.5 SPG) could overwhelm with defense and drives.
- Draymond Green (GSW) vs. Kevin Durant (HOU): Green’s versatility (8.4 PPG, 5.6 RPG, 5.2 APG, 0.8 SPG) faces Durant’s scoring (26.3 PPG, 5.4 RPG). Durant could exploit mismatches for 25+ points.
- De’Anthony Melton (GSW) vs. Jabari Smith Jr. (HOU, if active): Melton (potential starter, around 10+ PPG) vs. Smith’s shooting (15.5 PPG, 36.8% 3PT). Smith’s rebounding (6.8 RPG) could control the glass.
- Bench Impact: Golden State’s depth (e.g., Jonathan Kuminga, Nate Williams) vs. Houston’s reserves like Reed Sheppard and Tari Eason, who provide energy and steals.
Series History
Houston holds a 129-110 all-time regular-season edge over Golden State.
The Warriors lead 20-10 in playoffs. Recently, Golden State is 8-6 in the last 14 meetings, but Houston won the most recent on November 26, 2025 (104-100).
Houston has won the last two, often featuring high-scoring affairs.
Betting Trends
- Spread: Rockets are 27-33 ATS overall, 8-16 as 8.5+ favorites. Warriors are 26-32 ATS, 1-4 as 8.5+ underdogs.
- Total (O/U): Over has hit in 26 of Rockets’ 60 games; 35 of Warriors’ 61. Combined averages suggest around 226 points.
- Trends: Rockets 3-2 ATS in last five home games; Warriors 2-3 ATS on road lately.
Game Odds
Golden State Warriors 214.5
Houston Rockets – 8.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, March 4, 2026
