NBA Game Preview: Dallas Mavericks (21-41) vs. Boston Celtics (41-21)

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The Dallas Mavericks head to Boston for a Friday night matchup against the Celtics in what could be a lopsided affair. The Mavs are struggling through a rebuild year, mired in a five-game losing streak and sitting near the bottom of the Western Conference standings. Meanwhile, the Celtics are contending for the top seed in the East, boasting a strong home record (20-10) and elite defensive efficiency. This game marks the second meeting of the season between the teams, with Boston winning the first encounter on February 3, 2026, in Dallas. All eyes will be on potential returns for key players, adding intrigue to an otherwise predictable contest.

Venue Location

TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts. This iconic arena has been the Celtics’ home since 1995 and seats over 19,000 fans. Boston has been dominant here this season, allowing just 107.1 points per game at home.

Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET (4:00 p.m. PT). The game will be broadcast nationally on ESPN and locally on NBCS-BOS.

Injury Report

Both teams are dealing with significant absences, but Boston could get a massive boost.

TeamPlayerPositionStatusInjury/Details
MavericksKyrie IrvingGOut for SeasonLeft knee surgery (suffered in February 2026)
MavericksDereck Lively IICOut for SeasonRight foot surgery
MavericksBrandon WilliamsGOutLeft quadriceps contusion (missed March 5 game vs. Orlando)
MavericksMarvin Bagley IIIFOutNeck sprain (missed March 5 game vs. Orlando)
CelticsJayson TatumFQuestionableRight Achilles repair (upgraded from out; expected to possibly debut after nearly 10 months out)

Dallas welcomed back rookie forward Cooper Flagg on March 5 after an eight-game absence due to a left foot sprain; he contributed 18 points, 6 assists, 5 rebounds, and 4 blocks in his return.

Key Player Matchups

This game features intriguing battles, especially if Tatum returns. Boston’s depth and defense (allowing a league-low 107.1 PPG) should exploit Dallas’ injury-riddled lineup, which ranks near the bottom in offensive efficiency (113.5 PPG).

  • Jaylen Brown (BOS) vs. Cooper Flagg (DAL): Brown, averaging 28.9 PPG, will test the rookie Flagg (20.4 PPG) in his hometown return. Flagg’s athleticism and shot-blocking (4 blocks in his last game) could challenge Brown’s drives, but Brown’s experience and scoring efficiency (55.5% FG) give him the edge.
  • Jayson Tatum (BOS, if active) vs. P.J. Washington (DAL): Tatum’s potential debut (pre-injury averages: 24.0 PPG, 8.6 RPG) would pit him against Washington (7.0 RPG). Tatum’s versatility could overwhelm Dallas’ frontcourt, especially with Lively out.
  • Derrick White (BOS) vs. Luka Dončić (DAL): White’s defensive prowess (elite perimeter D) faces Dončić, the league’s leading scorer at 32.4 PPG. With Irving sidelined, Dončić (also leading in assists at 10.3) will shoulder the load, but Boston’s team defense could limit his impact.
  • Other Notes: Boston’s Neemias Queta or Al Horford will handle Dallas’ depleted center rotation, while Baylor Scheierman provides shooting depth for the Celtics.

Recent Team Forms

Dallas is in freefall, dropping five straight and winning just 2 of their last 10. Their offense has sputtered (110.0 PPG over last 10), exacerbated by injuries.

DateOpponentResultScore
Mar 5at OrlandoL114-115
Mar 3at CharlotteL90-117
Mar 1vs. MemphisL87-100
Feb 27vs. Oklahoma CityL90-117
Feb 25at SacramentoL105-124
Feb 22at IndianaW134-130
Feb 20at MinnesotaL111-122
Feb 18at LA LakersL104-124
Feb 10at PhoenixL111-120
Feb 8at San AntonioL125-138

Boston has been consistent, going 7-3 in their last 10 with high-scoring wins (e.g., 148-111 vs. Brooklyn). A recent blowout loss to Charlotte snapped a three-game win streak, but their defense remains stout.

DateOpponentResultScore
Mar 4vs. CharlotteL89-118
Mar 2at MilwaukeeW108-81
Mar 1vs. PhiladelphiaW114-98
Feb 27vs. BrooklynW148-111
Feb 25vs. ChicagoW124-105
Feb 23vs. New YorkL89-111
Feb 21vs. MiamiW98-96
Feb 19at HoustonW114-93
Feb 3at DallasW110-100
Feb 1vs. MilwaukeeL105-112

Series History

The Celtics hold a slight all-time edge in the regular season: 48 wins to Dallas’ 41 (89 games). Boston has dominated recently, winning 8 of the last 10 meetings, including a 110-100 victory on February 3, 2026 (Jaylen Brown: 33 PTS; Cooper Flagg: 36 PTS). Dallas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 road games against Boston but 6-2 ATS in its last 8 overall vs. the Celtics.

Betting Trends

  • ATS Trends: Celtics 36-26 ATS overall (57.7%), but 1-1 as 14.5+ favorites. Mavericks 28-34 ATS (45.2%), 6-2 ATS in last 8 vs. Boston.
  • O/U Trends: Mavericks games have gone under in 6 of last 10; Celtics over in 5 of last 10. Boston home games average 221.2 total points.

Game Odds

Dallas Mavericks              224.5

Boston Celtics                   – 15.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, March 5, 2026