Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 PM ET
Venue: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
TV: NBA TV, FDSWI (Bucks), NBCS-BOS (Celtics) (Note: The query referenced March 1, but the scheduled matchup matching these exact records is Monday, March 2 at Fiserv Forum. No Celtics-Bucks game occurred on March 1.)
Injury Report
Boston Celtics
- Jayson Tatum (F) – Out (right Achilles repair; est. return ~March 4 or later)
Milwaukee Bucks
- Giannis Antetokounmpo (F) – GTD (calf; many reports indicate likely out or highly questionable)
- Taurean Prince (F) – Out (neck; est. return ~March 28)
- Thanasis Antetokounmpo (F) – GTD (illness)
No official reports submitted yet due to back-to-back scheduling, but Tatum’s absence is confirmed long-term, while Giannis’ calf issue has sidelined him for stretches. Boston plays without its two-way star; Milwaukee’s frontcourt depth is severely tested if Giannis sits.
Recent Team Forms
Celtics (hot streak): 11-2 in last 13 games, including back-to-back blowouts — 114-98 win vs. Philadelphia (Sunday) and 148-111 rout of Brooklyn (Feb. 27). They are 6-1 SU/ATS in their last 7 and riding high on offensive efficiency (2nd in offensive rating, top-3 in 3PM/game, fewest turnovers in the league). Defense has also tightened, allowing under 110 in several recent wins.
Bucks (inconsistent, recent skid): 8-4 in last 12 but losers of their last two — 120-97 home loss to Chicago (Saturday) and 127-98 home loss to New York (Feb. 27). They average 110.4 PPG in last 10 but allow 113.8 PPG (negative margin). Home defense has been porous lately (allowing 120+ in recent contests).
Key Player Matchups
- Jaylen Brown (BOS) vs. Khris Middleton / Brook Lopez rotation: Brown steps up as the clear alpha without Tatum. Expect 28-32+ PPG usage. Middleton must contain him on the perimeter while Lopez helps on switches.
- Derrick White / Payton Pritchard (BOS) vs. Damian Lillard (MIL, assuming active): Boston’s guard tandem feasts on pick-and-rolls; Lillard (if playing) remains a scoring threat but defensive liability.
- Frontcourt battle: Boston’s Neemias Queta / Al Horford / Kristaps Porziņģis (if available) vs. Milwaukee’s Bobby Portis / Giannis (if active) / Brook Lopez. Without Giannis, Milwaukee’s rebounding and rim protection drop sharply.
- Bench edge: Boston’s depth (Pritchard, Hauser, etc.) vs. Milwaukee’s thinner unit (Rollins, etc.). Celtics have outscored opponents heavily off the bench lately.
Series History (2025-26 Season)
The teams have split their two prior meetings, with the home team winning both:
- Feb. 1, 2026: Celtics 107, Bucks 79 (TD Garden)
- Dec. 11, 2025: Bucks 116, Celtics 101 (Fiserv Forum)
All-time, Boston leads the regular-season series 122-113. In the last 10 meetings overall, Celtics are 7-3 SU but only 4-6 ATS, with a strong under trend (2-8 O/U).
Betting Trends
- Key ATS notes: Boston 6-1 ATS last 7; 20-11 ATS on the road this season. Milwaukee 0-6 ATS vs. Atlantic Division; 0-5 SU in last 5 March games.
- O/U trends: Celtics 22-38 O/U season-long (heavy Under lean); 11-20 away. Bucks 10-21 O/U on road but 16-12 at home. Head-to-head heavily favors Unders (6 of last 6 vs. Boston; 4 of last 5 home vs. Boston). However, four of last five overall meetings cleared higher totals.
- Milwaukee has gone Over in 3 of last 4; Boston’s efficient offense pushes pace up when favored.
Game Odds
Boston Celtics – 7.5
Milwaukee Bucks 215.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, March 1, 2026
