NAIA-CFB Game Preview: Texas Wesleyan Rams (1-2) vs. Nelson Lions (1-2)

0
38

Venue & Game Details

  • Kickoff Time: 2:00 PM CDT
  • Venue: Lumpkins Stadium, 200 Indian Drive, Waxahachie, Texas
  • Capacity: ~9,500
  • Conference: Sooner Athletic Conference (SAC)
  • Event: Nelson University Homecoming Game

Weather Forecast (Waxahachie, TX)

  • Kickoff Temperature: ~31°C (88°F), humid
  • Conditions: Partly sunny with scattered clouds
  • Wind: 10–14 km/h from the south
  • Precipitation: ~20% chance of isolated showers
  • Impact: Heat and humidity could test depth and conditioning, especially for Texas Wesleyan coming off a tough road stretch.

Injury Report

  • Texas Wesleyan Rams:
    • QB group healthy; starter threw for 2 TDs in the 52–13 win over Texas College (Sept 13).
    • RB rotation intact, with one back averaging 80+ yards per game.
    • Secondary thin after injuries in the 61–13 loss to UTRGV (Sept 20).
  • Nelson Lions:
  • QB group healthy; starter threw for 3 TDs in the 59–40 win at Arkansas Baptist (Sept 20).
  • WR corps intact, including a top target who had 120 yards vs. Ottawa (AZ).
  • DL slightly banged up but starters expected to play.

(Note: NAIA programs release limited injury info; updates closer to kickoff may adjust this.)

Key Player Matchups

  • Texas Wesleyan QB vs. Nelson Secondary
    • Rams QB has been efficient in SAC play, but turnovers were costly vs. Lindsey Wilson and UTRGV.
    • Nelson’s secondary has allowed multiple explosive plays in two of three games.
  • Nelson QB vs. Texas Wesleyan Defensive Front
    • Nelson QB threw for 3 TDs in the win over Arkansas Baptist.
    • Texas Wesleyan’s defense has allowed 45+ points in two of three games.
  • Special Teams Edge
  • Texas Wesleyan kicker has been reliable from 40 yards and in.
  • Nelson has struggled in punt coverage, giving up long returns.

Recent Team Form

  • Texas Wesleyan Rams (1–2, 1–0 SAC)
    • L 10–45 @ Lindsey Wilson (Aug 28)
    • W 52–13 @ Texas College (Sept 13)
    • L 13–61 @ UTRGV (Sept 20)
    • Strengths: Passing game, opportunistic offense in SAC play.
    • Weaknesses: Defense allowing 39.0 ppg.
  • Nelson Lions (1–2, 1–1 SAC)
  • L 13–37 @ MidAmerica Nazarene (Aug 28)
  • L 7–28 vs. Ottawa (AZ) (Sept 13)
  • W 59–40 @ Arkansas Baptist (Sept 20)
  • Strengths: Explosive offense, balanced QB/WR attack.
  • Weaknesses: Defense allowing 35+ ppg.

Conference vs. Conference

  • Both teams are SAC rivals.
  • This is a conference matchup with early-season positioning implications.
  • Texas Wesleyan is looking to rebound after a non-conference blowout loss, while Nelson is seeking its first-ever SAC home win.

Series History

  • All-time series: First-ever meeting between Texas Wesleyan and Nelson.
  • Trend: No prior history; both programs looking to establish bragging rights in the SAC.

Betting Trends

  • Texas Wesleyan:
    • 1–2 ATS in 2025
    • 2–4 ATS in last 6 SAC games
    • 3 of last 4 games have gone Over
  • Nelson:
  • 1–2 ATS in 2025
  • 1–4 ATS in last 5 SAC games
  • 4 of last 5 games have gone Over

Historical Betting Results

  • Texas Wesleyan 2024: 6–5 ATS overall, 3–3 ATS in SAC play.
  • Nelson 2024: Inaugural season; limited betting history.
  • Head-to-head: No prior betting results.

Game Odds

Texas Wesleyan Rams                    59

Nelson Lions                                      – 4

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, September 26, 2025