NAIA-CFB Game Preview: Sterling Warriors (0-1) vs. Evangel Valor (1-0)

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Venue, Date & Time

Conference: Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference (KCAC)

Date: Saturday, September 6, 2025

Kickoff: 6:00 PM CDT

Venue: Eagle Stadium, Nixa, Missouri

Weather Forecast (Nixa, MO – Game Day)

Conditions: Mostly sunny early, clear skies by kickoff

Temperature at Kickoff: ~82°F (28°C)

Wind: 5–8 mph from the south-southwest

Precipitation Chance: <10%

Impact on Play: Ideal early-season conditions; no weather-related disruptions expected.

Injury Report (as of latest available updates)

Sterling Warriors

No major injuries reported after Week 1 loss to Tabor College.

QB and RB rotations intact; OL depth being monitored after minor knocks.

Evangel Valor

No confirmed absences after Week 1 win over Saint Mary (62–14).

QB Reid Potts (331 yards, 4 TDs in opener) and RB Eric Williams II (133 rushing yards) healthy and expected to start.

Recent Team Form

Sterling Warriors

2024 Record: 2–9 overall, 2–8 KCAC

Opened 2025 with a home loss to Tabor College.

Offense averaged 17.1 PPG in 2024; defense allowed 36.4 PPG.

Evangel Valor

2024 Record: 8–3 overall, 7–3 KCAC

Opened 2025 with a 62–14 road win over Saint Mary.

Offense posted 631 total yards in opener; defense forced 3 INTs.

Series History

All-Time: Evangel leads 2–0

First Meeting: Sept. 9, 2023 – Evangel 55, Sterling 0 (Nixa, MO)

Last Meeting: Sept. 14, 2024 – Evangel 38, Sterling 14 (Sterling, KS)

Average Margin: Evangel +39.5 PPG

Notable: Sterling has yet to score more than 14 points against Evangel.

Betting Trends

Evangel is 2-0 ATS vs. Sterling since 2023.

The Over has hit in 1 of the 2 meetings.

Sterling is 1-9 SU in last 10 KCAC games.

Evangel is 6-2 ATS in last 8 home games.

Suggested Wagering Model

Model Inputs:

Evangel’s offensive efficiency vs. Sterling’s defensive metrics from 2024–25.

Historical scoring margin in series (+39.5 PPG for Evangel).

Sterling’s road struggles vs. upper-tier KCAC opponents.

Weather: Neutral impact.

Game Odds

Sterling Warriors              58.5

Evangel Valor                     – 27.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, September 5, 2025