Venue & Logistics
Stadium: Vigilante Stadium, Helena, Montana
Kickoff Time: 1:00 PM MT
Conference: Frontier Conference (NAIA)
Weather Forecast (Helena, MT)
Temperature: 63°F at kickoff, cooling to 57°F by the 4th quarter
Conditions: Mostly sunny, light winds (5–7 mph)
Impact: Excellent football weather—minimal effect on passing or kicking
Injury Report
Carroll Fighting Saints (4-1):
QB Tanner Gustavsen – Probable (ankle soreness, practiced fully late in the week)
WR Jaxon Lee – Questionable (hamstring, game-time decision)
Defense otherwise healthy, with LB Mason Sullivan returning from a minor shoulder injury
Montana Western Bulldogs (4-1):
QB Jon Jund – Probable (rib bruise, expected to start)
RB Hunter Thomsen – Out (knee, season-ending)
OL depth thin after losing a starter to a high ankle sprain
Key Player Matchups
Carroll QB Tanner Gustavsen vs. Montana Western Secondary
Gustavsen has been efficient, completing 68% of his passes with 11 TDs. Montana Western’s secondary has been opportunistic, with 8 interceptions in 5 games.
Montana Western QB Jon Jund vs. Carroll Front Seven
Jund is a dual-threat QB who has accounted for 12 total TDs this season. Carroll’s defense leads the Frontier in sacks (15).
Carroll RB Matthew Burgess vs. Montana Western Run Defense
Burgess averages 95 yards per game, while Montana Western allows just 3.2 yards per carry. Whoever wins this trench battle controls tempo.
Recent Team Form
Carroll Fighting Saints (4-1, 3-1 Frontier)
Last Game: Defeated Southern Oregon 28–17, controlling the second half
Strength: Balanced offense, disciplined defense (fewest penalties in the Frontier)
Weakness: Depth at WR due to injuries
Montana Western Bulldogs (4-1, 3-1 Frontier)
Last Game: Routed MSU-Northern 45–10, piling up 500+ yards of offense
Strength: Explosive passing game, opportunistic defense
Weakness: Run game less consistent without Thomsen
Series History
All-Time Meetings: 42
Series Record: Carroll leads 30–12
Recent Trend: Montana Western has won 3 of the last 5, including a 24–21 upset in 2024.
At Helena: Carroll leads 17–4
Betting Trends:
Carroll is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 home games
Montana Western is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 as a road underdog
The Under has hit in 4 of the last 6 meetings
Historical Betting Results:
Carroll covered in 2 of the last 3 matchups at home
Montana Western has covered in 4 of the last 6 overall
Average margin of victory in the last 5 meetings: 6.8 points (tight series recently)
Predicted Score: Carroll 27, Montana Western 24
Game Odds
Carroll Fighting Saints – 2.5
Montana Western Bulldogs 49.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, October 10, 2025
