MMA Match Preview: Christian Leroy Duncan (12-2) vs. Marco Tulio (14-1)

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Venue & Event Details

Event: UFC Vegas 111 – Bonfim vs. Brown

Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada

Start Time: Main card begins 8:00 p.m. ET / 5:00 p.m. PT; Duncan vs. Tulio expected early on the main card

Broadcast: ESPN+ (USA), TNT Sports (UK)

Injury & Availability Report

Christian Leroy Duncan: No reported injuries; cleared after August 2025 KO win vs. Eryk Anders.

Marco Tulio: No reported injuries; enters fight healthy following April 2025 TKO win vs. Tresean Gore.

Recent Form & Fight History

Christian Leroy Duncan

W vs. Eryk Anders (KO/TKO, Aug 2025)

L vs. Armen Petrosyan (UD, 2024)

W vs. Dusko Todorovic (KO, 2023)

Style: Fluid movement, rangy striking, relies on distance management. Limited grappling emphasis.

Marco Tulio

W vs. Tresean Gore (TKO, Apr 2025)

W vs. Bruno Silva (UD, 2024)

W vs. regional opponents prior to UFC debut.

Style: High-volume striker, aggressive pace, efficient accuracy. Strong defensive metrics.

Betting Trends

Tulio has finished 10 of 14 wins, with 7 first-round stoppages.

Duncan has 7 KO/TKO wins and 3 submissions, but struggles when pressured.

Market momentum favors Tulio, with bettors pushing him into favorite territory.

Sharp bettors see Duncan’s reach and movement as live underdog value.

Key Takeaway

This is a middleweight clash of styles: Tulio brings relentless volume and knockout power, while Duncan offers reach, fluid movement, and counter-striking. Oddsmakers favor Tulio, but Duncan’s length and unpredictability make him a dangerous underdog in a fight likely to produce fireworks.

FIGHT ODDS

Christian Leroy Duncan                 + 145

Marco Tulio                                        – 180

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, November 7, 2025