MLS Match Preview: New York Red Bulls (12-13-7) vs. FC Cincinnati (18-9-5)

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Venue & Event Details

Match: New York Red Bulls (12‑13‑7, 43 pts) vs. FC Cincinnati (18‑9‑5, 59 pts)

Competition: Major League Soccer – Regular Season, Matchday 33

Time: 7:30 p.m. ET

Venue: Red Bull Arena (currently branded as Sports Illustrated Stadium), Harrison, New Jersey

Broadcast: MLS Season Pass (Apple TV), local radio coverage

Weather Update (Harrison, NJ)

Forecast: Clear skies, cool fall evening

Temperature at Kickoff: ~64°F (18°C)

Humidity: ~55%

Wind: 6–8 mph

Impact: Ideal playing conditions; no weather disruptions expected.

Injury / Suspension Report

New York Red Bulls

OUT: Lewis Morgan (hamstring)

OUT: John Tolkin (ankle)

QUESTIONABLE: Emil Forsberg (knock, late fitness test)

FC Cincinnati

RETURNING: GK Roman Celentano (leg injury, expected to start)

OUT: Matt Miazga (suspension – yellow card accumulation)

QUESTIONABLE: Obinna Nwobodo (groin)

Key Player Matchups

Eric Maxim Choupo‑Moting (NYRB) vs. Matt Miazga’s Replacement (CIN): Choupo‑Moting has 16 goals this season and will test Cincinnati’s reshuffled backline.

Emil Forsberg (NYRB) vs. Obinna Nwobodo (CIN): If both play, Forsberg’s creativity against Nwobodo’s ball‑winning will be decisive.

Kevin Denkey (CIN) vs. NYRB Center Backs: Denkey scored the winner in the season opener vs. NYRB; his pace and finishing remain a threat.

Luciano Acosta (CIN) vs. Daniel Edelman (NYRB): Acosta’s playmaking (double‑digit assists) against Edelman’s defensive grit in midfield.

Team Records & Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Record: 12‑13‑7 (43 pts, 10th in East – eliminated from playoff contention)

Last 5: L‑W‑L‑D‑L

Last Match: Lost 3‑2 to NYCFC (Sept. 28)

Home Form: 7‑5‑4 at Red Bull Arena

FC Cincinnati

Record: 18‑9‑5 (59 pts, 2nd in East – chasing Supporters’ Shield)

Last 5: D‑W‑W‑L‑L

Last Match: 1‑1 draw vs. Orlando City (Sept. 28)

Road Form: 10‑4‑2 away from home (best in MLS)

Series History

All-time MLS meetings: Cincinnati leads 7‑5‑3.

Last Meeting: Feb. 22, 2025 – FC Cincinnati 1, NYRB 0 (Kevin Denkey 70’).

At Red Bull Arena: Even record, but Cincinnati has won 2 of last 3 visits.

Betting Trends

Red Bulls have conceded in 8 of last 9 matches.

Cincinnati unbeaten in last 3 away games (2W, 1D).

4 of last 5 head‑to‑head meetings have gone Under 2.5 goals.

Cincinnati has scored first in 6 of last 8 matches.

NYRB eliminated from playoffs, but historically strong at home in October.

MATCH ODDS

New York Red Bulls + 125            Draw + 255         FC Cincinnati + 180

Over 2.5 – 170                   Under 2.5 + 135

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, October 3, 2025