MLS Match Preview: Nashville SC (15-8-5) vs. Atlanta United FC (4-12-11)

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Match & Venue Details

Competition: MLS Regular Season – Matchday 29

Date & Time: Saturday, August 30, 2025 – Kickoff 8:30 p.m. ET / 7:30 p.m. CT

Venue: GEODIS Park, 501 Benton Ave, Nashville, TN 37203

Surface: Natural grass

Broadcast: MLS Season Pass (Apple TV+)

Weather Outlook

Forecast at Kickoff: ~78°F (26°C), clear skies, humidity ~62%, light SSW winds 4–6 mph

Impact: Ideal late-summer conditions; fast pitch should favor Nashville’s high-tempo attack and Atlanta’s counter opportunities

Injury & Availability Report

Nashville SC

Out: Walker Zimmerman (knee), Shaq Moore (hamstring)

Notes: Sam Surridge (20 goals) and Hany Mukhtar (14 goals, 7 assists) both fit and in form; Joe Willis expected in goal

Atlanta United FC

Out: Giorgos Giakoumakis (hamstring), Derrick Williams (ankle)

Notes: Emmanuel Latte Lath (7 goals) leads the line; Brad Guzan starts in goal; Aleksey Miranchuk (6 goals, 2 assists) key in midfield creativity

Projected Starting XIs

Nashville SC (4-4-2)
Willis (GK); Lovitz, Maher, Romney, Washington; Muyl, Godoy, Davis, Leal; Mukhtar, Surridge

Atlanta United FC (4-2-3-1)
Guzan (GK); Lennon, Abram, Robinson, Wiley; Muyumba, Sejdic; Miranchuk, Almada, Etienne Jr.; Latte Lath

Key Player Matchups

Sam Surridge (NSH) vs. Miles Robinson (ATL) – MLS’s top scorer vs. Atlanta’s most experienced defender; aerial duels and box movement will be decisive.

Hany Mukhtar (NSH) vs. Tristan Muyumba (ATL) – Mukhtar’s playmaking against Atlanta’s ball-winning midfielder.

Emmanuel Latte Lath (ATL) vs. Jack Maher (NSH) – Latte Lath’s pace in behind vs. Maher’s positional discipline.

Daniel Lovitz (NSH) vs. Brooks Lennon (ATL) – Overlapping fullbacks who can influence both ends of the pitch.

Recent Team Form

Nashville SC – Last 5 MLS: L L L W D

Snapped 3-match losing streak with emphatic 5–1 win over Orlando City (Surridge & Mukhtar braces)

Home: 10-3-1 at GEODIS Park; unbeaten in last 12 home matches in all comps (10W, 2D)

Atlanta United FC – Last 5 MLS: D L D L D

Winless in last 11 league matches (0-6-5)

Away: 0-8-5 in 2025; only 8 goals scored in 13 away matches

Series History

All-Time (MLS): Nashville leads 5W – 3W Atlanta – 5D

At GEODIS Park: Nashville unbeaten (3W – 3D – 0L) vs. Atlanta since joining MLS

2025 Season: 1–1 draw at Mercedes-Benz Stadium (May 3)

Recent Trend: 6 of last 8 meetings have seen both teams score

Betting Trends

Nashville SC:

14-5-0 when favored this season

Scored 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 home matches

50% clean sheet rate at home in 2025

Atlanta United FC:

1-13-0 as underdog in 2025

Conceded 2+ goals in 6 of last 8 away matches

No away wins this season

H2H Totals:

Over 2.5 goals in 8 of last 13 meetings

BTTS in 9 of last 13 meetings

Suggested Wagering Model

Model Inputs:

Team xG: NSH 1.74 / ATL 1.12

Goals Conceded per 90: NSH 1.15 / ATL 1.88

Home/away splits & form streaks

Key absences (Zimmerman, Giakoumakis)

MATCH ODDS

Nashville SC – 190            Draw + 330            Atlanta United FC + 400

Over 2.5 – 175                   Under 2.5 + 140

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, August 29, 2025