MLB Game Preview: Toronto Blue Jays (81-59) vs. New York Yankees (78-62)

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Venue & First Pitch

  • Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York
  • Date: Friday, September 5, 2025
  • Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • Broadcast: Sportsnet (Canada), YES Network (NY), MLB.TV
  • Capacity: 46,537

Weather Forecast (Bronx, NY – First Pitch)

  • Conditions: Partly cloudy, warm
  • Temperature: ~82°F (28°C)
  • Wind: SW at 6–8 mph (favors RF power)
  • Precipitation: <10%
  • Impact: Ideal hitting weather; short porch in right could be a factor for LHBs

Injury Report

Blue Jays

  • Jordan Romano (elbow) – 15‑day IL
  • Bo Bichette (hamstring) – Day-to-day
  • Alek Manoah (shoulder) – 60‑day IL

Yankees

  • Jazz Chisholm Jr. (knee contusions) – Game-time decision
  • Anthony Rizzo (back) – 10‑day IL
  • Nestor Cortes (shoulder) – 60‑day IL

Recent Form

Blue Jays (Last 10): 5‑5, averaging 5.1 runs/game; bullpen ERA 5.40 in span
Yankees (Last 10): 8‑2, averaging 5.8 runs/game; team ERA 3.12

Probable Pitchers (Game 1)

  • TOR: Kevin Gausman (8‑10, 3.75 ERA)
    • Last start vs. NYY: 7 IP, 2 ER, 9 K (W)
  • NYY: Cam Schlittler (2‑2, 2.61 ERA)
  • Rookie with plus fastball; first career start vs. TOR

Key Player Matchups

  • Daulton Varsho (TOR) vs. Yankee Stadium RF Porch
    • Pull-heavy LHB profile fits park; Statcast suggests more HR potential here
  • Alejandro Kirk (TOR) vs. High-Velocity Arms
    • .522 SLG vs. 95+ mph pitches — NYY starters average 95+ mph
  • Jazz Chisholm Jr. (NYY) vs. TOR Catchers
    • MLB steals leader since ASB; Jays have allowed 42 SB in last 2 months
  • Aaron Judge (NYY) vs. Gausman
  • Judge: 3 HR in last 7 games; career .280 AVG vs. Gausman

Series History

  • 2025: TOR 7‑3 vs. NYY; Jays averaged 7.4 runs in wins, Yankees 6.7 in wins
  • Recent: TOR won 5 straight vs. NYY from June 30–July 21

Betting Trends

  • Blue Jays: OVER in 6 of last 8 road games; 4‑1 in last 5 vs. NYY at Yankee Stadium
  • Yankees: 7‑1 in last 8 home games; OVER in 5 of last 7 overall
  • Head-to-Head: OVER in 7 of last 10 meetings

Game Odds

Toronto Blue Jays             – 115

New York Yankees           8.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Thursday, September 4, 2025