MLB Game Preview: Texas Rangers (72-68) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (69-71)

Venue, Date & Time

• Date: Wednesday, September 3, 2025
• First Pitch: 3:40 p.m. ET / 12:40 p.m. PT
• Venue: Chase Field, 401 E. Jefferson Street, Phoenix, AZ 85004
• Surface: Retractable‑roof stadium with natural grass
• Broadcast: ARID (Arizona), Bally Sports Southwest (Texas), MLB.TV

Weather Forecast (Phoenix, AZ – First Pitch)

• Conditions: Hot desert afternoon (~101°F outside), but roof expected closed — climate‑controlled indoor conditions
• Impact: Neutral hitting/pitching environment; no wind factor

Injury Report

Texas Rangers

• Corey Seager (SS) – Day‑to‑day (hamstring tightness)
• Jonah Heim (C) – 10‑Day IL (wrist)
• Nathan Eovaldi (RHP) – 15‑Day IL (forearm)
• Jacob deGrom (RHP) – 60‑Day IL (elbow surgery)
• Max Scherzer (RHP) – 60‑Day IL (back)

Arizona Diamondbacks

• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (OF) – Out (leg injury)
• Jordan Montgomery (LHP) – 15‑Day IL (shoulder)
• Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP) – 60‑Day IL (lat)
• Tommy Henry (LHP) – 60‑Day IL (elbow)

Probable Pitchers & Matchup

Texas – Jack Leiter (RHP)

• 2025 Stats: 9–7, 3.77 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 118 K in 121.2 IP
• Profile: Former top prospect with mid‑90s fastball and sharp slider; coming off 6 IP, 2 ER vs. Oakland.
• Recent Form: 2.76 ERA in August; holding opponents to .215 AVG over last 6 starts.

Arizona – Zac Gallen (RHP)

• 2025 Stats: 10–13, 4.94 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 149 K in 162.2 IP
• Profile: Former All‑Star; inconsistent this season but posted 2.57 ERA in August.
• Recent Form: 3 straight quality starts; 6 scoreless innings vs. Dodgers in last outing.

Key Player Matchups

Texas Rangers Offense

• Wyatt Langford (OF): .250 AVG, 21 HR — 4 HR in last 2 weeks; crushes RHP.
• Adolis García (OF): .242 AVG, 73 RBI — power bat, key run producer.
• Josh Jung (3B): .256 AVG, 13 HR — steady middle‑order threat.

Arizona Diamondbacks Offense

• Corbin Carroll (OF): .271 AVG, 29 HR — elite speed/power combo; 4 HR in last 10 games.
• Ketel Marte (2B): .292 AVG, 2 HR in last 5 games — team’s most consistent hitter.
• Geraldo Perdomo (SS): 88 RBI — contact bat, situational hitter.

Matchup Spotlight:

• Leiter’s slider vs. Carroll/Marte from the left side.
• Gallen’s curveball/changeup vs. Langford and García’s power swings.

Team Records & Recent Form

Recent Trends:

• Texas: 20 HR in last 10 games; bullpen ERA 3.05 in that span.
• Arizona: 12 HR in last 10 games; bullpen ERA 4.68 in that span.

Series History

• 2025 Season Series: Tied 1–1 entering this game.
• Last Meeting: Rangers 7, D‑backs 5 (Sept. 1) — Cody Freeman HR, 3 RBI for Texas.
• At Chase Field: Rangers 4–3 in last 7 games.

Betting Trends

Texas Rangers

• 25–42 as underdog (37.3% win rate)
• Over in 6 of last 10 games
• 8–2 ATS last 10 games

Arizona Diamondbacks

• 41–40 as favorite (50.6% win rate)
• Over in 4 of last 10 games
• 7–3 ATS last 10 games

Suggested Wagering Model

Model Inputs:

• Both starters in good recent form; potential for lower‑scoring game despite hitter‑friendly park.
• Rangers’ offense red‑hot, but Gallen’s August rebound and roof‑closed conditions temper HR boost.
• Texas bullpen stronger in recent weeks; Arizona’s pen vulnerable late.