MLB Game Preview: Tampa Bay Rays (50-44) vs. Boston Red Sox (50-45)

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The Tampa Bay Rays (50–44) continue their road trip with a pivotal matchup against the Boston Red Sox (50–45) on Friday, July 11 at 7:10 PM ET at Fenway Park. With both teams neck-and-neck in the AL East standings and battling for Wild Card positioning, this game marks the eighth meeting of the season, with Boston holding a 5–2 series edge.

Team Form & Standings

TeamRecordLast 10 GamesHome/Away Split
Boston Red Sox50–458–229–20 (Home)
Tampa Bay Rays50–443–722–19 (Away)
  • Red Sox are riding a seven-game win streak, their longest of the season.
  • Rays have dropped 8 of their last 11, despite outscoring Boston 37–28 across the season series.

Probable Starting Pitchers

Boston Red Sox – Hunter Dobbins (RHP)

  • Record: 4–1
  • ERA: 4.10
  • WHIP: 1.38
  • Last Start: 4 IP, 4 ER, 5 BB vs Yankees
  • Note: Red Sox are 7–5 in games he’s started

Tampa Bay Rays – Drew Rasmussen (RHP)

  • Record: 7–5
  • ERA: 2.82
  • WHIP: 1.11
  • Last Start: 2 IP, 1 ER vs Tigers
  • Note: Rays are 10–8 in his starts

Key Players to Watch

Boston Red Sox

  • Jarren Duran: .262 AVG, 24 doubles, 10 triples, 8 HR – 10-game hit streak
  • Ceddanne Rafaela: .264 AVG, 4 HR in last 10 games – clutch 2-RBI single in Thursday’s win
  • Wilyer Abreu: 18 HR – leads team in homers
  • Trevor Story: 57 RBI – team leader; 2 HR in last 5 games

Tampa Bay Rays

  • Junior Caminero: 23 HR, .509 SLG – homered in Thursday’s loss
  • Brandon Lowe: 19 HR – 4 HR, 8 RBI in last 10 games
  • Jonathan Aranda: .327 AVG – team leader in batting average
  • Yandy Díaz: .287 AVG, 14 HR – consistent top-of-lineup bat
  • Red Sox are 8–2 ATS in their last 10 games
  • Rays are 2–8 ATS in their last 10 games
  • Over has hit in 9 of Boston’s last 10 games

Game Storylines

  • Momentum Shift: Boston’s offense is surging, averaging 8.1 runs per game over their last 10
  • Pitching Contrast: Rasmussen’s elite ERA vs Dobbins’ recent control issues
  • Series Edge: Red Sox lead season series 5–2, including three straight home wins vs Rays
  • Power Surge: Both teams rank top 10 in slugging; expect fireworks at Fenway

Game Details

  • Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox
  • Date: Friday, July 11, 2025
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
  • Broadcast: NESN / FDSNSUN / MLB Network / MLB.tv

Game Odds

Tampa Bay Rays                – 110

Boston Red Sox                 9

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Thursday, July 10, 2025