MLB Game Preview: Tampa Bay Rays (46-35) vs. Baltimore Orioles (34-46)

Match Details

• Fixture: Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles
• Competition: Major League Baseball – Regular Season
• Date: Friday, June 27, 2025
• First Pitch: 7:05 PM ET
• Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
• Broadcast: Apple TV+ (National), Fubo (regional restrictions may apply)

Match Significance

This Rays vs Orioles MLB 2025 matchup opens a critical weekend series between two AL East rivals trending in opposite directions. The Rays are pushing for a division title, while the Orioles are trying to claw out of the cellar and play spoiler. With both teams featuring intriguing pitching matchups and young talent, this game could set the tone for the second half of the season.

Tampa Bay Rays – Team Overview

• Record: 45-35 (2nd in AL East)
• Last 10 Games: 7-3
• Manager: Kevin Cash
• Probable Starter: Ryan Pepiot (RHP, 5-6, 3.04 ERA)

Strengths

• Elite starting pitching: Pepiot has 10 quality starts and a 1.099 WHIP
• Power bats: Junior Caminero (19 HR), Yandy Díaz (.289 AVG)
• Hot streak: 19-6 in last 25 games, averaging 6.3 runs per game over last 10

Concerns

• Bullpen fatigue from recent high-leverage games
• Occasional inconsistency with runners in scoring position

Keys to Victory

Tampa Bay must get early run support for Pepiot, who’s averaging nearly 6 innings per start and held the Orioles to 1 ER over 8 IP earlier this season. If Caminero and Díaz stay hot, the Rays should control the tempo.

Baltimore Orioles – Team Overview

• Record: 34-46 (5th in AL East)
• Last 10 Games: 6-4
• Manager: Tony Mansolino (interim)
• Probable Starter: Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP, 5-4, 4.12 ERA)

Strengths

• Power potential: 92 home runs (11th in MLB)
• Recent offensive surge: 4+ runs in 7 of last 10 games
• Sugano’s command: 1.22 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9

Concerns

• Pitching depth: Bottom five in team ERA and WHIP
• Injuries: Mountcastle, O’Neill, and multiple starters on IL

Keys to Victory

Baltimore must get a strong outing from Sugano and capitalize on any Rays bullpen fatigue. If Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson can spark the offense early, the Orioles could keep it close.

Head-to-Head & Betting Insights

• Season Series: Rays lead 3-2
• Last Meeting: Rays 7, Orioles 1 (June 16 – Pepiot 11 K, 1 ER)

Recent Trends

• Rays: 7-3 ATS in last 10 games
• Orioles: 5-5 ATS in last 10 games
• Over/Under: Total has gone OVER in 5 of Rays’ last 10 games