MLB Game Preview: Pittsburgh Pirates (1-2) vs. Cincinnati Reds (2-1)

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Cincinnati Reds logo

First Pitch is scheduled for 6:40 PM ET
Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio
TV: FS1, SportsNet-PIT+, Reds.TV | Radio: Sports Radio 93.7 The Fan (PIT), WLW 700 (CIN)

Game Overview

This divisional NL Central matchup kicks off a three-game series between two teams still finding their footing in the very early 2026 season. The Pirates enter with a 1-2 record (4th in the NL Central), while the Reds sit at 2-1 (2nd in the NL Central). Both clubs opened the year on the road against the Mets and at home against Boston, respectively, making this their first home/away clash of the young campaign.

Recent Team Forms

Pirates (1-2): Pittsburgh dropped their season opener in blowout fashion and split a pair of extra-inning games against the Mets over the weekend. Offense has been inconsistent, and the bullpen has been tested early. They’re 1-2 on the road to start the year.

Reds (2-1): Cincinnati has shown early resilience at home, winning two of three in their opening series. They’ve displayed better run production and bullpen depth so far, going 2-1 straight up and against the spread in their limited sample.

Probable Pitchers & Player Matchups

Pirates: RHP Braxton Ashcraft (0-0, ~2.03 ERA in early limited action) vs. Reds: RHP Chase Burns (0-0, high-K prospect profile)

Ashcraft, who transitioned from bullpen work last season into a starting role, brings solid command and a multi-pitch mix but limited big-league starting experience. He’ll face a Reds lineup that features speed and power threats like Elly De La Cruz (SS), TJ Friedl (CF), and Matt McLain (2B/INF).

Burns, a former high draft pick with elite strikeout stuff (13.9 K/9 in 2025 limited action), makes an early-season start. His fastball-slider-sinker combination will be tested by Pirates hitters led by Oneil Cruz (SS), Bryan Reynolds (LF/OF), and Andrew McCutchen (DH/OF).

Key matchup edges: Burns’ strikeout upside vs. Pittsburgh’s patient but power-capable lineup; Ashcraft’s experience against Cincinnati’s aggressive base-running. Expect a low-scoring affair if both young arms locate early.

Injury Report

Pirates

Jared Jones (SP): 60-Day IL (elbow/internal brace surgery) – out until late May at the earliest.

Minor/short-term: Anthony Solometo (SP, day-to-day), several relievers (e.g., Oddanier Mosqueda, Chris Devenski) on short IL stints. No major impact to today’s lineup or bullpen depth.

Reds

Hunter Greene (SP): 60-Day IL (elbow surgery) – out until at least July.

Nick Lodolo (SP): 15-Day IL (blister/left index finger).

Caleb Ferguson (RP): 15-Day IL (oblique).
The Reds are thin in the rotation and bullpen but have promoted depth arms to cover. No changes expected for today’s active roster.

Series History

The all-time series is remarkably even: Pirates lead 1,253–1,234 (.504 winning percentage) across 2,506+ meetings. The rivalry has produced tight, low-scoring games in recent years. In 2025, the teams split results with the Reds taking several close contests at home. This marks the first 2026 series between them, with Cincinnati hosting the first three games.

Weather Updates

Game-time conditions at Great American Ball Park: 74°F, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, wind 13–14 mph (south/southwest), humidity ~53%, precipitation chance ~11%. Ideal early-season baseball weather—comfortable temperatures, light breeze that could slightly favor hitters to right field, but no rain delays expected. Winds should stay manageable throughout the evening.

Betting Trends

Early trends (small sample): Reds are 2-1 SU and ATS in their last handful of games; totals have gone over in just 1 of 3 recent Reds contests. Pittsburgh is 1-2 ATS as a road underdog. Home favorites in divisional openers have performed solidly, but both young starters introduce variance.

Game Odds

Pittsburgh Pirates            8

Cincinnati Reds                 – 136

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, March 29, 2026