MLB Game Preview: Philadelphia Phillies (48-35) vs. Atlanta Braves (38-44)

First pitch is set for 1:35 p.m. ET, with national coverage on ESPN and streaming via MLB.tv.

Matchup	Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves
Date & Time	Sunday, June 29 – 1:35 p.m. ET
Venue	Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Broadcast	ESPN, MLB.tv

This is the rubber match of a three-game NL East showdown. The season series is tied 4–4, and both teams are looking to gain ground in a tightly contested division.

Team Form & Trends

Philadelphia Phillies (48–35, 2nd in NL East)

• Recent Form: 5–5 in last 10 games
• Pitching Strength: 10th-best team ERA in MLB (3.79)
• Offensive Leaders:

• Kyle Schwarber: 25 HR, 57 RBI – ranks 4th in MLB in home runs
• Trea Turner: .302 AVG – team leader in batting average
• Nick Castellanos: .282 AVG, 9 HR, 21 doubles

Atlanta Braves (38–44, 3rd in NL East)

• Recent Form: 5–5 in last 10 games
• Home Record: 23–16 at Truist Park
• Offensive Leaders:

• Matt Olson: 15 HR, 52 RBI – team leader in both categories
• Austin Riley: .269 AVG, 12 HR – consistent middle-of-the-order bat
• Marcell Ozuna: 11 HR, 58 BB – power and plate discipline

Probable Starting Pitchers

Philadelphia Phillies: Mick Abel (RHP)

• Record: 2–2 ERA: 4.45 WHIP: 1.33
• Last Start: 5.1 IP, 2 ER vs Astros
• Scouting Report: Top prospect with electric stuff; still refining command

Atlanta Braves: Spencer Schwellenbach (RHP)

• Record: 6–4 ERA: 3.21 WHIP: 0.99
• Last Start: 6.0 IP, 1 ER vs Marlins
• Scouting Report: Emerging ace with elite control and swing-and-miss arsenal

Key Matchups to Watch

• Kyle Schwarber vs Schwellenbach: Schwarber’s power vs Schwellenbach’s low walk rate will be a pivotal battle
• Matt Olson vs Abel: Olson has 5 HR in his last 10 games and thrives against young righties
• Bullpen Edge: Phillies’ bullpen ERA (3.79) ranks top 10; Braves’ pen has been inconsistent in high-leverage spots

Head-to-Head & Betting Insights

• Season Series: Tied 4–4 entering Sunday’s finale
• Phillies are 32–5 when scoring 5+ runs
• Braves are 35–10 when out-hitting opponents
• Over is 6–4 in last 10 meetings between these teams