MLB Game Preview: New York Yankees (76-60) vs. Chicago White Sox (48-88)

Venue & Game Info

• Date: Sunday, August 31, 2025
• First Pitch: 2:10 PM ET / 1:10 PM CT / 11:10 AM PT
• Venue: Guaranteed Rate Field, 333 W. 35th Street, Chicago, IL 60616
• Surface: Kentucky Bluegrass
• Broadcast: YES Network (NYY), CHSN (CWS), MLB.TV

Weather Update

• Conditions: Outdoor venue; warm late‑summer afternoon.
• Forecast at First Pitch: Mostly sunny, ~84°F (29°C), light SSW breeze 5–7 mph, humidity ~55%.
• Impact: Slightly hitter‑friendly with warm temps; wind toward right‑center could aid left‑handed pull hitters.

Injury Report

New York Yankees:

• Brent Headrick (LHP) – 15‑Day IL (forearm)
• Austin Slater (OF) – 10‑Day IL (hamstring)
• Jonathan Loáisiga (RHP) – 15‑Day IL (back)
• Clarke Schmidt (RHP) – 60‑Day IL (forearm)
• Ryan Yarbrough (LHP) – 15‑Day IL (oblique)
• Oswaldo Cabrera (INF/OF) – 60‑Day IL (ankle)
• Jake Cousins (RHP) – 60‑Day IL (elbow)
• Gerrit Cole (RHP) – 60‑Day IL (elbow)

Chicago White Sox:

• Miguel Vargas (1B) – 10‑Day IL (hand)
• Luis Robert Jr. (OF) – 10‑Day IL (hamstring)
• Elvis Peguero (RHP) – 15‑Day IL (elbow)
• Owen White (RHP) – 15‑Day IL (hip)
• Dan Altavilla (RHP) – 15‑Day IL (lat)
• Prelander Berroa (RHP) – 60‑Day IL (elbow)
• Ky Bush (LHP) – 60‑Day IL (elbow)
• Miguel Castro (RHP) – 60‑Day IL (knee)
• Drew Thorpe (RHP) – 60‑Day IL (elbow)

Probable Pitchers

• NYY: RHP Luis Gil (2‑1, 3.75 ERA, 1.71 WHIP, 22 K)
  • Power arm with mid‑90s fastball; working back from injury.
  • Career: 18‑9, 3.57 ERA, 1.28 WHIP in 209 IP.
• CWS: LHP Martín Pérez (1‑3, 2.02 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 32 K)

• Veteran lefty with elite command; thrives on soft contact.
• Home ERA: 1.89 in 5 starts this season.

Recent Form

New York Yankees – Last 5: W‑W‑W‑W‑W

• Riding a 7‑game win streak; outscored opponents 43‑19 in that span.
• Team ranks 1st in MLB in runs (702), HR (228), and SLG (.458).
• Pitching staff ERA over last 10 games: 2.93.

Chicago White Sox – Last 5: L‑L‑L‑L‑L

• On a 5‑game skid; outscored 33‑21 in that stretch.
• Offense ranks 26th in MLB in runs (528) and 28th in SLG (.373).
• Team ERA over last 10 games: 4.75.

Series History

• 2025 Season Series: Yankees lead 3‑0 entering finale.
• Yankees have won 7 of last 9 meetings overall.
• NYY has homered in 6 straight games vs. CWS.

Key Player Matchups

• Aaron Judge (NYY) vs. Martín Pérez
  • Judge: .321 AVG, 42 HR, 96 RBI; 4th in MLB HR, 6th in RBI.
  • Pérez: Holding RHB to .198 AVG this season.
• Cody Bellinger (NYY) vs. CWS Bullpen
  • Bellinger: .280 AVG, 26 HR, 84 RBI; 7 HR in last 15 games.
• Andrew Benintendi (CWS) vs. Luis Gil
  • Benintendi: .262 AVG, 15 HR, 49 RBI; contact hitter who can exploit fastball command lapses.
• Colson Montgomery (CWS) vs. NYY Middle Relief
• Montgomery: 4 HR, 9 RBI in last 10 games; emerging power threat.

Betting Trends

New York Yankees:

• 7‑3 in last 10 games as favorite.
• Over is 7‑3 in last 10 games.
• 7‑3 ATS in last 10.

Chicago White Sox:

• 3‑7 in last 10 games as underdog.
• Over is 5‑5 in last 10 games.
• 4‑6 ATS in last 10.

Head‑to‑Head:

• Yankees 7‑2 last 9 vs. White Sox.
• Over is 6‑4 in last 10 meetings.

Suggested Wagering Model

Primary Lean: Yankees ‑1.5 (‑123)

• NYY’s offensive firepower + CWS’s recent struggles make a multi‑run win likely.

Secondary Lean: Over 9 Runs (‑105)

• Yankees’ bats are scorching; White Sox could scratch a few runs off Gil’s limited workload.

Prop Angle: Cody Bellinger Anytime HR (+350)

• Bellinger’s hot streak + favorable matchup vs. CWS bullpen.