Venue: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
First pitch 4:10 PM EDT / 1:10 PM PDT
TV / Radio: YES Network (Yankees); Mariners.TV / ROOT Sports NW (Mariners); MLB.TV; WFAN 660/101.9 FM (Yankees); KIRO 710 / 97.3 FM (Mariners)
Weather Update
Game-time conditions in Seattle call for cool temperatures around 48–50 °F, high humidity (~90%), and a high chance of rain (90%+ POP) with light winds around 6–7 mph. The T-Mobile Park retractable roof is expected to be closed, creating a controlled, neutral environment with no wind or precipitation impact. This setup typically favors pitchers by limiting carry on fly balls and keeping the ball in the yard—especially important in a matchup featuring two strong right-handers.
Recent Form
Yankees: 4-1 and rolling — they bounced back from a 2-1 loss in Game 1 of this series with a dominant 5-0 shutout in Game 2 behind Max Fried. Offense has been efficient (19 runs scored, just 3 allowed in last two games), and the pitching staff boasts a microscopic 0.76 team ERA early.
Mariners: 3-3 and inconsistent — they took Game 1 of the series 2-1 but were blanked 5-0 on Tuesday. Offense has shown power in spots but has been held in check lately; the staff has been solid overall but the bullpen is being tested early.
Series History
2026 season series (so far): Tied 1-1 (Mariners won 2-1 on Mar 30; Yankees won 5-0 on Mar 31).
2025 head-to-head: Yankees went 5-1 SU.
All-time: Yankees lead the rivalry, but Mariners have been competitive at home.
Recent trends at T-Mobile Park: Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 road games vs. Seattle; unders have hit in 6 of the last 7 meetings here.
Probable Pitchers & Key Matchups
Yankees – RHP Cam Schlittler (1-0, 0.00 ERA in 2026; 2.96 ERA in 2025)
Schlittler has been electric early, tossing 5.1 scoreless innings with 8 strikeouts and zero walks in his first start. Career vs. Mariners: limited sample but strong command and strikeout stuff. He induces weak contact and limits hard contact—ideal against Seattle’s patient lineup.
Mariners – RHP George Kirby (1-0, 1.50 ERA in 2026; 4.21 ERA in 2025)
Kirby has looked sharp in his first outing (6 IP, 1 ER, 6 K). Career vs. Yankees: solid track record with pinpoint control. He relies on a deep arsenal and elite command but can be vulnerable to power if the Yankees square up early.
Notable Player Matchups (early 2026/career notes):
Aaron Judge vs. Kirby: Strong history of hard contact.
Giancarlo Stanton vs. Kirby: Power threat (drove in 2 runs Tuesday).
Julio Rodríguez vs. Schlittler: Limited but Mariners star needs to get going.
Cal Raleigh vs. Schlittler: Power bat in the middle of the order.
Projected Lineups (subject to change):
Yankees: Likely featuring Judge RF, Soto LF/DH, Stanton DH/RF, etc. (exact order TBD but power-heavy).
Mariners: Rodríguez CF, Raleigh C, Arozarena LF, Naylor 1B, etc. (balanced but scuffling early).
Injury Report
Yankees (pitching and infield depth tested):
SS Anthony Volpe (10-day IL – shoulder) – out until early May
LHP Carlos Rodón (15-day IL – elbow) – expected back late April
RHP Gerrit Cole (15-day IL – elbow) – out until mid-May
Others on longer-term IL (e.g., Travis MacGregor 60-day).
Mariners (key infielder and rotation depth missing):
SS J.P. Crawford (10-day IL – shoulder) – rehabbing, possible return soon
RHP Bryce Miller (15-day IL – oblique) – out until late April
RHP Carlos Vargas (15-day IL – lat) – out 2-3 weeks
Others on 60-day (e.g., Logan Evans – arm).
Both teams are relying on young call-ups and depth arms in the bullpen; late innings could get shaky if starters don’t go deep.
Betting Trends
Under has hit in 5 of Yankees’ last 6 games and 6 of last 7 road games vs. Seattle.
T-Mobile Park (roof closed) has played as a pitcher’s park early 2026.
Yankees 4-1 SU overall; strong in low-scoring affairs.
Public leaning Yankees ML, but sharp money on Under due to elite pitching duel.
Game Odds
New York Yankees 7
Seattle Mariners – 118
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, March 31, 2026
