Game Info
- Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
- Venue: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
- TV: FS1, SNY
Team Records & Recent Form
The New York Mets enter with a 68–60 record (second in the NL East) and have gone 5–5 in their last ten games, outscoring opponents by 11 runs .
The Atlanta Braves sit at 58–70 overall (fourth in the NL East) and are 7–3 in their past ten, hitting .280 as a club while posting a 6.07 ERA in that span .
Season Series
Saturday marks the 12th meeting between these NL East rivals, with the Braves holding a 7–4 edge so far .
Probable Pitchers
| Team | Starter | W–L | ERA | WHIP | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | Clay Holmes (R) | 10–6 | 3.64 | 1.34 | 105 |
| Braves | Cal Quantrill (R) | 4–10 | 5.50 | 1.39 | 82 |
Both right-handers have had uneven months: Holmes has delivered six quality starts over his last 20 turns, while Quantrill is searching for more consistent command after a 5.50 ERA this season .
Key Matchups
- Juan Soto vs. Cal Quantrill
Soto paces New York with 32 home runs and ranks eighth in MLB in on-base percentage, making him a constant threat whenever he reaches base . - Francisco Lindor vs. Cal Quantrill
Lindor is riding an eleven-game hitting streak and has gone 22-for-43 (.512) with five doubles, four homers and eight RBI over his last ten outings . - Matt Olson vs. Clay Holmes
Olson leads Atlanta with 34 doubles, 19 home runs and a .268 average, and he’s gone deep twice in his last five games . - Michael Harris II vs. Clay Holmes
Harris is batting .255 with 21 doubles, six triples, 16 homers and 13 walks this year, and he’ll be key to Atlanta’s early-offense plans .
Betting Trends
New York has won 52 of 89 games as favorites (58.4%) and is 42–31 when laying at least –130, with a 56.5% implied win chance .
Atlanta is 12–38 as an underdog this season (31.6%) and 6–22 when priced at +109 or worse, with a 47.8% implied probability on the moneyline .
The Mets were the ML favorite in seven of their last ten games (going 2–5), and six of those ten contests went over the total .
What to Watch
- Holmes’ First Inning: Navigating past the heart of Atlanta’s order early could set the tone.
- Soto vs. Lefties: Can he keep up his power surge against Quantrill’s off-speed repertoire?
- Braves Bullpen: Luke Jackson’s performance in the seventh will be key—Atlanta’s pen has a 3.80 ERA over its last 20 divisional games.
- Weather & Park Factors: Clear skies, light SE breeze (7 mph); Truist Park rarely plays as a home-run haven under these conditions.
Game Odds
New York Mets – 130
Atlanta Braves 9.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, August 22, 2025
