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MLB Game Preview: New York Mets (45-30) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (45-30)

First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 PM ET, and the game will stream exclusively on Apple TV+.

Game Overview: Mets vs Phillies – NL East Supremacy on the Line

This is the first game of a pivotal three-game series between two division rivals tied atop the NL East standings. The Mets swept the Phillies in April, but enter this matchup on a six-game losing streak, while the Phillies have won eight of their last ten and are surging behind elite pitching and timely hitting.

New York Mets: Looking to Snap the Slide

Record: 45–30 (1st in NL East, tied)
Last Game: 7–1 loss vs Atlanta Braves
Probable Starter: Blade Tidwell (0–1, 14.73 ERA)

Strengths:

  • Power Core: Pete Alonso (17 HRs, 63 RBIs) and Francisco Lindor (14 HRs) anchor the lineup.
  • Juan Soto’s Resurgence: Batting .310 with 5 HRs and a .481 OBP in June.
  • Bullpen Depth: Edwin Díaz (2.22 ERA), Reed Garrett (0.95 ERA), and Huascar Brazoban (1.64 ERA) have been lights out.

Concerns:

  • Injury Woes: Kodai Senga, Tylor Megill, and multiple relievers are on the IL.
  • Rookie on the Mound: Tidwell allowed 6 ER in 3.2 IP in his MLB debut vs St. Louis.
  • Cold Bats: Just 14 runs scored during their six-game skid.

Philadelphia Phillies: Riding the Wave

Record: 45–30 (1st in NL East, tied)
Last Game: 2–1 win vs Miami Marlins
Probable Starter: Zack Wheeler (7–2, 2.76 ERA)

Strengths:

  • Ace on the Hill: Wheeler has 110 strikeouts in 88 innings and a 1.45 ERA at home.
  • Balanced Lineup: Kyle Schwarber (23 HRs, 54 RBIs), Trea Turner (.300 AVG), and Alec Bohm (5-game hit streak) lead the charge.
  • Recent Form: 8–2 in last 10 games, including wins over the Cubs and Blue Jays.

Concerns:

  • Injury to Bryce Harper: Still on the IL with a wrist issue.
  • Bullpen Depth: Jose Alvarado suspended; Jordan Romano inconsistent.

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

CategoryMetsPhillies
Team Batting Avg.248 (13th in MLB).257 (7th in MLB)
Team ERA3.71 (9th)3.62 (7th)
Home Runs95 (5th)92 (6th)
Last 10 Games2–88–2
Season SeriesMets lead 3–0
  • Mets swept Phillies in April (5–4, 5–1, 4–3 in 10 innings)
  • Phillies are 12–3 in Wheeler’s starts this season
  • Under has hit in 8 straight Yankees games and 7 of Sugano’s last 10 starts

Game Odds

New York Mets                 8.5

Philadelphia Phillies      – 199

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, June 19, 2025

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