Date: May 7, 2025
Time: 3:40 PM ET
Venue: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Broadcast: MLB Network, Bally Sports Arizona, SNY
Matchup Overview
The New York Mets (23-14) and Arizona Diamondbacks (19-17) meet for the final game of their three-game series at Chase Field.
New York has won 66.7% of games when favored this season, while Arizona has a 52.2% win rate when favored. The Mets have a 55.8% chance to win, according to implied probability.
Starting Pitchers
New York Mets – Kodai Senga (3-2, 1.38 ERA, 31 K)
- Last Start: 4 innings, 1 earned run vs. Arizona.
- Season Stats: 1.38 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, .222 opponent batting average.
- Analysis: Senga has been dominant, allowing one earned run or fewer in three of his six starts. He’ll look to control Arizona’s lineup again.
Arizona Diamondbacks – Merrill Kelly (3-1, 4.06 ERA, 27 K)
- Last Start: 5 innings, 1 earned run vs. Philadelphia.
- Season Stats: 4.06 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, .200 opponent batting average.
- Analysis: Kelly has been consistent, averaging 5.3 innings per start. He’ll need to limit New York’s power hitters.
Key Players to Watch
New York Mets
- Francisco Lindor – Hit a three-run homer in Game 1, proving to be the difference-maker.
- Pete Alonso – Connected for a two-run blast, finishing 2-for-4.
- Juan Soto – Batting .253, looking to break out against Kelly.
Arizona Diamondbacks
- Corbin Carroll – Swatted his 10th home run of the season in Game 1.
- Josh Naylor – Went 2-for-4 with an RBI, raising his average to .310.
- Eugenio Suárez – Delivered two RBIs in Arizona’s late rally.
Game Storylines & Predictions
1. Can Arizona’s Offense Break Through?
The Diamondbacks struggled early in Game 1 but came alive in the eighth inning. If they can carry that momentum into Game 3, they could challenge Senga.
2. Mets’ Pitching vs. Arizona’s Power
New York’s pitching staff ranks first in MLB in ERA (2.95), but Arizona’s lineup has the ability to generate runs quickly.
3. Kelly’s Redemption?
Despite his struggles this season, Kelly pitched well against the Mets in his last outing. If he can replicate that performance, Arizona has a strong chance to win.
Game Odds
New York Mets – 125
Arizona Diamondbacks 9
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, May 6, 2025
