Game Details
- Time: 7:10 PM ET
- Location: Citi Field, Queens, NY
- Broadcast: MLB Network, SNY, FDSFL
Team Form & Trends
The New York Mets arrive off a sweep of the Phillies, outscoring them 25–8 in the three-game set and winning five of their last six at home. They’ve been dominant when heavily favored, posting an 11–1 record this season as a −256 or shorter moneyline favorite, and they convert those opportunities at a 58.7 percent clip overall.
The Miami Marlins snapped a season-long struggling stretch with a 3–2 win on Wednesday, but entering this series they’ve lost 10 of their last 14 road games and rank 19th in MLB in total runs scored (567). As underdogs of +207 or longer, they’re just 4–6 this year, making them vulnerable against elite offenses.
Pitching Matchup
- Holmes has delivered seven quality starts and owns a 68.2 percent win rate when pitching at Citi Field this season.
- Mazur makes his second career start after allowing four earned runs in 5⅔ innings versus the Phillies on June 18.
Betting Odds & Insights
Implied Win %: Mets 71.9 percent | Marlins 32.6 percent
Series Trends: Season series tied 4–4; four of the last six games have gone over the run total.
Players to Watch
Miami Marlins
- Xavier Edwards (2B): Leads Miami with a .288 batting average and has reached base in eight straight games.
- Otto López (OF): Powered 11 homers and 17 doubles; posted a .237 average with 41 walks.
- Edward Cabrera (RHP – long relief): Key swing reliever with a 3.45 ERA in 26 appearances.
New York Mets
- Juan Soto (OF): Club-leading 32 homers, .251 average, 79 RBI, and a four-game hit streak entering the contest.
- Pete Alonso (1B): Batting .265 with 106 RBI; has slugged six homers in his last ten games.
- Brandon Nimmo (OF): .258 average with 20 homers and 44 walks; spark plug atop the lineup.
Game Odds
Miami Marlins 9
New York Mets – 255
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, August 27, 2025
