Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
First Pitch: 7:10 PM ET
Broadcast: NESN, Bally Sports Florida, MLB Network
Radio: 940 WINZ (Miami), WEEI 93.7 FM (Boston)
Match Context
The Red Sox, second in the AL East and chasing a Wild Card berth, return home after a tough road series in Houston. The Marlins, third in the NL East, are under .500 but still within striking distance of a Wild Card spot. Boston is 39–22 at home, while Miami is 30–32 on the road.
Both teams are coming off series losses, but Miami’s offense exploded in a 13–4 win over Cleveland on Wednesday, led by Jakob Marsee’s 7-RBI performance.
Starting Pitchers
Boston Red Sox – Lucas Giolito (8–2, 3.77 ERA, 1.24 WHIP)
- 82 K in 100.1 IP
- 11 quality starts
- Allowed 4 ER in 4.2 IP vs. Padres in last outing
- Red Sox are 3–1 in his last 4 starts
Miami Marlins – Sandy Alcantara (6–11, 6.55 ERA, 1.48 WHIP)
- 104 K in 122 IP
- 2 HR, 4 BB allowed in last start vs. Braves
- 1–1 with a 1.38 ERA lifetime vs. Boston
Key Hitters to Watch
Boston Red Sox
- Jarren Duran – .263 AVG, 12 HR, 65 RBI
- Ceddanne Rafaela – .259 AVG, 24 doubles, 14 HR
- Wilyer Abreu – 21 HR, .333 AVG over last 5 games
Miami Marlins
- Kyle Stowers – 25 HR, 72 RBI
- Xavier Edwards – .305 AVG, team leader
- Agustin Ramirez – 25 doubles, 17 HR
Team Trends & Stats
| Team | Record | Last 10 | Batting Avg | Team ERA | Home/Road |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | 66–56 | 5–5 | .254 | 4.10 | 39–22 home |
| Marlins | 58–63 | 3–7 | .252 | 4.88 | 30–32 road |
- Red Sox rank 5th in MLB in batting average and 3rd in runs scored (614)
- Marlins rank 18th in runs scored and 24th in home runs (117)
- Over has hit in 6 of Marlins’ last 10 games
Boston’s offense is too potent at home, and Giolito has been steady. Alcantara’s struggles make Miami a risky pick despite their recent outburst.
Game Odds
Miami Marlins 9
Boston Red Sox – 168
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Thursday, August 14, 2025
