MLB Game Preview: Chicago White Sox (50-88) vs. Minnesota Twins (62-75)

Game Overview

• Date & Time: Tuesday, September 2, 2025 – First Pitch 7:40 p.m. ET
• Venue: Target Field, 1 Twins Way, Minneapolis, MN 55403
• Surface: Natural Grass
• Broadcast: MNNT (Twins), CHSN (White Sox), MLB.tv (out-of-market)

Weather Report (Minneapolis, MN – Game Time)

• Conditions: Clear skies, mild evening
• Temperature: ~73°F (23°C)
• Wind: ~6–8 mph out to left-center — mild boost to RH pull hitters
• Precipitation: 0% chance
• Impact: Slightly hitter-friendly for fly balls to left

Injury Report

Chicago White Sox

• 10‑Day IL: Miguel Vargas (hand), Luis Robert Jr. (hamstring)
• 15‑Day IL: Elvis Peguero (elbow), Owen White (hip), Dan Altavilla (lat)
• 60‑Day IL: Prelander Berroa (elbow), Ky Bush (elbow), Miguel Castro (knee), Drew Thorpe (elbow)

Minnesota Twins

• 10‑Day IL: Christian Vázquez (shoulder)
• 15‑Day IL: Anthony Misiewicz (shoulder), David Festa (shoulder)
• 60‑Day IL: Alan Roden (thumb), Pablo López (shoulder)

Team Records & Form

Recent Form:

• White Sox: .261 BA, 4.50 ERA last 10 games; 35–10 when scoring 5+ runs.
• Twins: .245 BA, 7.01 ERA last 10 games; 14–22 in one-run games.

Projected Starting Pitchers

• CWS: RHP Davis Martin (5–9, 4.03 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 85 K in 116.2 IP) – 7 quality starts; .252 BAA; 6.6 K/9.
• MIN: RHP Simeon Woods Richardson (5–4, 4.59 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 71 K in 84.1 IP) – 1 quality start; .255 BAA; 7.6 K/9.

Key Player Matchups

White Sox Offense vs. Woods Richardson

• Lenyn Sosa (.266/.310/.432, 18 HR, 61 RBI) – Team HR/RBI leader.
• Colson Montgomery (.253, 16 HR) – 6 HR in last 10 games; homered in 4 straight vs. MIN.
• Mike Tauchman (.275, 15 2B, 8 HR) – 2 RBI doubles in series opener.

Twins Offense vs. Martin

• Byron Buxton (.272/.333/.551, 29 HR, 72 RBI, 21 SB) – 4 HR in last 10 games; career .281 BA vs. CWS.
• Brooks Lee (.244, 14 HR, 57 RBI) – 2-for-4 with RBI in opener.
• Trevor Larnach (.252, 16 HR, 54 RBI) – 4 multi-hit games in last 7.

Series History

• 2025 Season: Tied 5–5 entering Game 2.
• All-Time: White Sox lead 1,189–1,130–15.
• Venue Note: Twins 35–33 at home this season; White Sox 20–46 on road.

Betting Trends

• Twins 38–40 as favorite; 17–12 when favored at -148 or shorter.
• White Sox 49–87 as underdog; 33–66 when +124 or longer.
• Over is 63–66–7 in Twins games; Over is 62–76 in White Sox games.
• White Sox 79–59 ATS; Twins 70–66 ATS.

Suggested Wagering Model

Model Inputs:

• Twins’ home-field advantage + slight offensive edge (4.2 runs/game vs. CWS 3.9).
• Both starters with ERA in mid-4s; bullpens unreliable (MIN 56.5% save rate, CWS 45.9%).
• Weather: mild boost to RH power.
• Series tied; both teams out of playoff contention — motivation variable.