MLB Game Preview: Boston Red Sox (78-63) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (70-71)

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Venue & First Pitch

  • Location: Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona
  • Date: Friday, September 5, 2025
  • Time: 9:40 PM ET / 6:40 PM PT
  • Broadcast: NESN (BOS), ARID (ARI), MLB.TV
  • Capacity: 48,686

Weather Forecast (Phoenix – Outside Conditions)

  • Conditions: Clear skies, hot desert evening
  • Temperature: ~99°F (37°C) outside at first pitch
  • Wind: Light W at 4–6 mph
  • Impact: Minimal — retractable roof expected to be closed

Injury Report

Red Sox

  • Triston Casas (shoulder) – 60‑day IL
  • Masataka Yoshida (hamstring) – 10‑day IL
  • Kenley Jansen (back) – 15‑day IL

Diamondbacks

  • Ketel Marte (quad) – Day-to-day
  • Alek Thomas (hamstring) – 10‑day IL
  • Merrill Kelly (shoulder) – 60‑day IL

Recent Form

Red Sox (Last 10): 6‑4, .254 AVG, 3.90 ERA, +12 run diff
Diamondbacks (Last 10): 5‑5, .249 AVG, 4.45 ERA, +4 run diff

Probable Pitchers

  • BOS: LHP Payton Tolle (0‑0, 3.38 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 8 K)
    • MLB debut last week: 5.1 IP, 2 ER, 3 H vs. PIT
    • Features mid‑90s fastball, plus changeup
  • ARI: LHP Eduardo Rodríguez (6‑8, 5.40 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 120 K)
  • 21 HR allowed in 24 starts; 0‑2, 8.31 ERA career vs. BOS

Key Player Matchups

  • Trevor Story (BOS) vs. Rodríguez
    • Career: 5‑for‑10 (.500), 2 2B, 1.245 OPS
    • 23 HR in 2025; 6 HR vs. LHP
  • Jarren Duran (BOS) – .260 AVG, 32 2B, 10 3B; spark plug at top of order
  • Corbin Carroll (ARI) – 38 SB, .270 AVG; elite speed threat
  • Christian Walker (ARI) – 31 HR, 94 RBI; power anchor in middle of lineup

Series History

  • All-Time: BOS leads 15‑12
  • Recent: ARI on 4‑game win streak vs. BOS, including 2024 sweep

Betting Trends

  • Red Sox: 52‑35 as favorite; OVER in 3 of last 10 games
  • Diamondbacks: 27‑30 as underdog; 5‑1 last 6 as home dog
  • Head-to-Head: ARI covered run line in 5 of last 6 meetings

Game Odds

Boston Red Sox                 – 128

Arizona Diamondbacks 8.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Thursday, September 4, 2025