Game Details
Time: 6:35 PM ET
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Season Series
Baltimore holds a narrow 5–4 advantage in the 2025 regular-season matchup series between these AL East rivals.
Probable Pitchers
| Team | Pitcher | Season Stats |
|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | Brennan Bernardino | 4–2, 2.93 ERA |
| Orioles | Tomoyuki Sugano | 10–5, 3.97 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 85 K |
Bernardino will open for Boston after a scoreless relief outing against New York over the weekend. Sugano, after a rocky midseason, has rebounded with three consecutive starts allowing one earned run or fewer.
Key Players to Watch
- Boston Red Sox
- Ceddanne Rafaela: 27 doubles, 3 triples, 14 HR, 53 RBI
- Trevor Story: .260 AVG, 82 RBI, 52nd in MLB home runs
- Jarren Duran: .334 OBP, .442 SLG, team-leading 131 hits
- Baltimore Orioles
- Gunnar Henderson: .283 AVG, 16 HR, 59 RBI
- Ryan Mountcastle: 15 hits in last 10 games, including 1 HR, 7 RBI
- Jackson Holliday: .246 AVG, 15 HR, 37 walks
Statistical Matchup
| Statistic | Red Sox | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Win Probability (implied, Moneyline) | 54.5 % | 49.5 % |
| Red Sox as Favorites (this season) | 45–32 (58.4 %) | — |
| Orioles as Underdogs (this season) | — | 32–36 in 68 (47.1 %) |
| Team Batting Average | .253 (4th MLB) | .236 (12th AL) |
| Team Slugging Percentage | .425 (7th MLB) | .398 (14th AL) |
- Boston’s offense ranks fourth in MLB in batting average and runs scored, with a .425 slugging percentage that ranks seventh.
- Baltimore is 32–36 when listed as an underdog this season, with a +100 moneyline implying a 50 % win probability.
- The game total of 9.5 runs suggests balanced pitching matchups and moderate scoring expectations.
Boston’s balanced offense and strong late-inning relief give them the edge in a tight, low-scoring battle at Camden Yards.
Game Odds
Boston Red Sox – 120
Baltimore Orioles 9.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, August 24, 2025
