MLB Game Preview: Boston Red Sox (70-59) vs. New York Yankees (69-59)

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Time: 1:05 PM ET
Venue: Yankee Stadium, The Bronx, NY
TV/Radio: MLB Network • YES • NESN

Team Records & Form

  • Boston Red Sox: 70–59 overall, 29–34 on the road. Winners of two of their last three, including a 6–3 victory in Thursday’s series opener thanks to a strong relief outing from Greg Weissert and a three-RBI game from Roman Anthony.
  • New York Yankees: 69–59 overall, 37–27 at home. Entering on a three-game home skid, having dropped consecutive matchups against Tampa Bay and Toronto before a blowout loss to Boston on Thursday night.

Season Series

Boston holds a commanding 7–1 advantage in the 2025 head-to-head slate. The Red Sox have outscored New York 55–35 across those eight games, including four straight wins at Yankee Stadium dating back to last season.

Probable Pitchers

TeamStarterSeason Stats
Red Sox (Away)Garrett Crochet (L)13-5, 2.43 ERA, 196 K in 159⅓ IP
Yankees (Home)Will Warren (R)7-5, 4.25 ERA, 143 K in 142 IP
  • Crochet, one of MLB’s top left-handers, has yielded 2 earned runs or fewer in 18 of 24 starts and owns a sterling 1.07 WHIP.
  • Warren has displayed flashes of dominance—holding opponents to 2 ER or fewer in seven of his last eight outings—but is vulnerable to the long ball, surrendering 22 homers on the year.

Key Hitting Matchups

  • Jarren Duran vs. Yankees’ LHP: Duran paces Boston with a .261 average, 12 HR and 69 RBI; he hit a towering blast off Max Fried in Friday’s win.
  • Trevor Story vs. NYR: Story leads the club with 79 RBI and has reached base safely in eight straight games, batting .300 over his last five contests.
  • Aaron Judge vs. Crochet: The reigning Home Run Derby champ leads New York with a .329 average, 40 HR and 92 RBI; he’s 8-for-20 with two homers against lefties this month.
  • Cody Bellinger vs. Will Warren: Bellinger (.272, 24 HR) has gone 9-for-23 with five extra-base hits off right-handed starters this season.

Betting Trends

  • Boston is 22–17 when favored by –133 or more and has cashed the run line in four of its last six road starts as the chalk.
  • New York has covered six of its last ten ATS as a home underdog, including a 3-2 cover in their lone +112 spot this season.

What to Watch

  • Can Crochet secure his 17th quality start and stifle the AL’s top slugger in Judge?
  • Will New York’s bullpen bounce back after Friday’s implosion in the eighth inning?
  • How will weather (partly cloudy, 78°F) and a stiff southeast wind at 12 mph influence fly-ball carry in the Bronx?

Game Odds

Boston Red Sox                 – 119

New York Yankees           8

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, August 22, 2025