MLB Game Preview: Atlanta Braves (55-68) vs. Cleveland Guardians (63-59)

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Cleveland Guardians logo

Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
First Pitch: 1:40 PM ET
Broadcast: ESPN, Bally Sports Great Lakes


Team Records & Form

TeamRecordLast 10 GamesRoad/Home SplitSeason Series
Guardians63–596–4 (.206 AVG)31–30 at homeTied 1–1
Braves55–688–2 (.265 AVG)25–38 on roadTied 1–1

Atlanta enters Sunday riding a four-game win streak and has outscored opponents by 21 runs over its last 10 games. Cleveland remains in the AL Wild Card hunt and has won 9 of its last 10 series.

Pitching Matchup

PitcherTeamW–LERAWHIPK/BBNotes
Erick FeddeBraves4–125.401.4970/38Struggled with command; 1.2 HR/9 rate
Logan AllenGuardians7–93.941.3892/41Solid at home; 3.21 ERA at Progressive Field

Allen has been Cleveland’s most reliable starter in August, while Fedde looks to rebound from a rough stretch. The Guardians are 23–10 since July 7, while the Braves are surging late despite injuries.

Key Hitters to Watch

Cleveland Guardians

  • José Ramírez: .293 AVG, 25 HR, 64 RBI, 50 XBH
  • Kyle Manzardo: 3 HR, 6 RBI in last 10 games
  • Steven Kwan: .316 AVG over last 5 games, 22 doubles, 10 HR

Atlanta Braves

  • Michael Harris II: 18-for-41, 4 HR, 13 RBI in last 10 games
  • Matt Olson: .264 AVG, 19 HR, 72 RBI
  • Marcell Ozuna: 20 HR, .430 SLG, 62 RBI

Game Trends & Betting Insights

  • Guardians: 61.1% win rate when favored; 23–10 when favored by -129 or more
  • Braves: 29.7% win rate as underdogs; 5–2 as underdogs in last 7 games
  • Over/Under: Total set at 9; both teams have matched 4.15 ERA over last 10 games
  • Prediction: Guardians 5, Braves 4 (Under 9 runs)

Injury Report

Cleveland Guardians

  • Lane Thomas (foot), Will Brennan (forearm), Ben Lively (forearm), John Means (elbow), Sam Hentges (shoulder) – IL

Atlanta Braves

  • Austin Riley (abdominal), Chris Sale (rib), Reynaldo López (shoulder), Joe Jiménez (knee), AJ Smith-Shawver (calf/elbow) – IL

GAME ODDS

Atlanta Braves                  9

Cleveland Guardians      – 129

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, August 16, 2025