MLB Game Preview: Atlanta Braves (51-67) vs. New York Mets (63-55)

Game Overview

• Date & Time: Tuesday, August 12 – 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Citi Field, Queens, NY
• Series Status: Game 1 of 3
• Broadcast: SNY, Bally Sports South

Pitching Matchup

Team	Starter	Record	ERA	WHIP	K/BB	Notes
Braves	Spencer Strider	5–9	4.04	1.30	98/32	Elite strikeout rate, but inconsistent post-injury
Mets	Clay Holmes	9–6	3.46	1.30	97/29	Converted reliever, steady but short outings

• Edge: Slight lean to Holmes due to recent form and Mets’ home dominance

Team Form & Key Stats

New York Mets

• Record: 63–55 (2nd in NL East)
• Home Record: 38–21
• Last 10: 1–9 (.208 AVG, 5.01 ERA, -18 run diff)
• Season Series: Down 2–5 vs. Braves
• Top Performers:

• Juan Soto: 28 HR, .493 SLG
• Pete Alonso: 11-for-38, 4 HR, 12 RBI in last 10
• Francisco Lindor: Key to timely hitting vs. Strider’s velocity

Atlanta Braves

• Record: 51–67 (4th in NL East)
• Road Record: 21–37
• Last 10: 5–5 (.235 AVG, 3.94 ERA, +5 run diff)
• Strength: Power vs. RHP, aggressive early in counts
• Top Performers:

• Matt Olson: 28 doubles, 19 HR
• Michael Harris II: 13-for-40, 4 doubles, 3 HR in last 10
• Drake Baldwin: .289 AVG, 13 HR, 51 RBI — rising rookie star

Betting Insights

• Trend: Mets are 44–8 when out-hitting opponents; Braves are 14–28 in one-run games
• Lean: Over 8.0 — both starters have volatility, and Braves’ lineup can punish early mistakes

Angle

• Momentum: Braves have won 4 of last 5; Mets are on a 7-game skid
• X-Factor: Strider’s strikeouts vs. Mets’ swing-and-miss tendencies
• Projection: Braves 5, Mets 3 — Atlanta capitalizes on early offense and bullpen fatigue