MLB Game Preview: Arizona Diamondbacks (67-69) vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (77-58)

Game & Venue Details

• Date & Time: Saturday, August 30, 2025 – First Pitch 9:10 p.m. ET / 6:10 p.m. PT
• Venue: Dodger Stadium, 1000 Vin Scully Avenue, Los Angeles, CA 90012
• Surface: Natural grass
• Broadcast: SportsNet LA (LAD), ARID (ARI), MLB Network (out-of-market)

Weather Outlook

• First Pitch Forecast: ~74°F, clear skies, humidity ~64%, winds WSW 7–9 mph
• Impact: Mild breeze toward right-center; Dodger Stadium’s marine layer at night can slightly suppress carry on deep fly balls

Injury Report

Arizona Diamondbacks

• Out: Corbin Martin (shoulder, 60-day IL), Merrill Kelly (shoulder, 60-day IL), Andrew Saalfrank (elbow, 60-day IL), James McCann (back, day-to-day), Alek Thomas (hamstring, 10-day IL)
• Impact: Rotation depth thin; some lineup shuffling with OF injuries

Los Angeles Dodgers

• Out: Max Muncy (oblique, 10-day IL), Tommy Edman (oblique, 10-day IL), Alex Vesia (oblique, 15-day IL), Brock Stewart (shoulder, 15-day IL)
• Impact: Missing key infield power bat (Muncy) and bullpen lefty specialist

Projected Starting Pitchers

Key Player Matchups

• Blaze Alexander (ARI) – 400-ft HR in series opener; .360/.385/.640 since Aug. 20
• Gabriel Moreno (ARI) – .360 AVG in 6 games since IL return; RBI single in opener
• Ketel Marte (ARI) – Switch-hitter with .500 SLG vs. RHP in August
• Shohei Ohtani (LAD) – 45 HR, 85 RBI; .330 OBP in last 10 games
• Teoscar Hernández (LAD) – 31 HR; .290 AVG vs. LHP this season
• Freddie Freeman (LAD) – Returned from neck/shoulder issue; .298 AVG, 37 doubles

Recent Team Form

Diamondbacks (Last 10): 6–4, 4.7 R/G, 3.90 ERA

• Won 4 straight; pitching staff allowing just 2.5 R/G in streak

Dodgers (Last 10): 6–4, 5.0 R/G, 3.40 ERA

• Had 4-game win streak snapped in opener; 8–2 in last 10 at home before loss

Series History

• 2025 Season: Dodgers lead 4–3
• All-Time: Dodgers lead 273–205 (.571)
• At Dodger Stadium: Dodgers 143–92 all-time vs. ARI
• Recent Trend: D-backs 8–4 in last 12 at Dodger Stadium despite overall series deficit

Betting Trends

• Dodgers: 69–48 as favorite (59% win rate); 26–11 when favored at –219 or shorter; Under in 5 of last 7 games; 6–1 SU in last 7 at home
• Diamondbacks: 25–29 as underdog (46.3% win rate); 6–2 SU in last 8 as underdog; Under in 4 of last 5 vs. NL West; 8–4 SU in last 12 at Dodger Stadium
• Head-to-Head Totals: Under in 5 of last 6 meetings

Suggested Wagering Model

Model Inputs:

• SP splits (Rodríguez’s 7.43 ERA in 6 career starts vs. LAD vs. Glasnow’s .183 opponent AVG)
• Team wRC+ vs. LHP/RHP (ARI 108 vs. RHP; LAD 119 vs. LHP)
• Bullpen ERA last 30 days (ARI 4.92, LAD 3.74)
• Park factor for HR (Dodger Stadium neutral, but RHB power plays well in warm weather)
• Recent scoring trends & head-to-head totals