Date: Wednesday, July 9, 2025
Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
First Pitch: 9:40 p.m. ET
Broadcast: ESPN, Bally Sports Arizona, Bally Sports San Diego
Team Overview & Recent Form
| Team | Record | Last 5 Games | Road/Home Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres | 49–42 | W-L-W-L-W | 28–16 (Home) |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 45–47 | L-W-L-W-L | 22–22 (Road) |
- Padres are coming off a tight 1–0 win on Tuesday, highlighted by Luis Arraez’s solo homer and two spectacular home run robberies.
- Diamondbacks have dropped 3 of their last 5, struggling to capitalize on scoring chances despite solid pitching.
Pitching Matchup
| Pitcher | Team | Record | ERA | WHIP | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Pivetta | Padres | 9–2 | 3.25 | 1.04 | 2.55 ERA at home; 7 IP, 2 ER vs. D-backs in last meeting |
| Merrill Kelly | D-backs | 7–4 | 3.55 | 1.09 | Allowed 4 ER in 5 IP vs. Padres last month; vulnerable to hard contact |
Pivetta has been dominant at Petco Park, while Kelly’s recent outings show signs of regression despite solid season stats.
Key Players to Watch
San Diego Padres
- Luis Arraez: .292 AVG, 17 doubles, 4 HR; batting .450 over last 5 games
- Fernando Tatis Jr.: 15 HR, .440 SLG; 4-for-5 with 3 runs in last meeting vs. Kelly
- Manny Machado: .293 AVG, 15 HR, 53 RBI; team leader in all major categories
Arizona Diamondbacks
- Josh Naylor: .299 AVG, 93 hits; 15 HR, 74 RBI
- Geraldo Perdomo: .271 AVG, 18 doubles, 9 HR; .372 OBP
- Eugenio Suarez: 28 HR, 74 RBI; leads team in power production
Statistical Comparison
| Category | Padres | Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| Batting Average | .245 | .252 |
| OBP | .316 | .328 |
| Home Runs | 76 | 98 |
| Team ERA | 3.69 | 4.68 |
| Bullpen ERA | 3.68 | 5.54 |
San Diego’s pitching depth and bullpen reliability give them a clear edge, while Arizona’s offense has been more explosive but inconsistent.
The Padres are 4–1 in their last five home games vs. Arizona and have won 8 straight home games against NL opponents following a loss. With Pivetta’s strong home splits and Arraez’s hot bat, San Diego is well-positioned to take the series lead.
Game Odds
Arizona Diamondbacks 7.5
San Diego Padres – 141
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Tuesday, July 8, 2025
