Horse Race Preview: Race 9 – Mint One Dreamer Stakes at Kentucky Downs

0
54

Race Overview

Race: 9 – Mint One Dreamer Stakes

Track: Kentucky Downs, Franklin, Kentucky

Date: Thursday, September 4, 2025

Post Time: 4:57 PM CT

Distance: 1 mile & 70 yards (Turf)

Surface: Turf

Purse: $500,000 (includes $175,000 from the Kentucky Thoroughbred Development Fund)

Conditions: Fillies & Mares, 3‑year‑olds and up

Field Analysis – Horses, Jockeys, Trainers & Pedigrees

1 – Sparkle Blue (Hard Spun – Silk n’ Sapphire, by Smart Strike)6YO Mare6/1

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione

Trainer: H. Graham Motion

Owner/Breeder: Catherine Parke & Augustin Stable

Pedigree Notes: By Hard Spun, a versatile sire of turf and dirt winners, out of Silk n’ Sapphire, dam of multiple graded turf winners.

Form & Style: Proven stakes mare with tactical speed; thrives when able to settle mid‑pack and produce a sustained run.

2 – Buttercream Babe (Twirling Candy – Runway Ready, by Mr. Greeley)4YO Filly15/1

Jockey: Luis Saez

Trainer: Michael J. Maker

Owner/Breeder: Three Diamonds Farm / Repole Stable

Pedigree Notes: Twirling Candy progeny excel on turf; dam adds sprint speed influence.

Form & Style: Lightly raced in stakes company; could be a pace factor if sent early.

3 – Waves of Mischief (Into Mischief – Pearl River, by Successful Appeal)4YO Filly8/1

Jockey: Ben Curtis

Trainer: Brendan P. Walsh

Owner/Breeder: Qatar Racing, LLC / Pam & Martin Wygod

Pedigree Notes: By leading sire Into Mischief, with a dam line that blends speed and stamina.

Form & Style: Consistent allowance/stakes performer; can stalk or press the pace.

4 – Grayosh (Yoshida (JPN) – Rosie O’Prado, by Paddy O’Prado)4YO Filly4/1

Jockey: Flavien Prat

Trainer: Chad C. Brown

Owner/Breeder: Flanagan Racing / Susan E. Bedwell

Pedigree Notes: By Yoshida, a Grade 1 winner on turf and dirt; dam adds turf stamina.

Form & Style: Comes off a close effort in Grade 3 company; versatile running style makes her dangerous.

5 – Vive Veuve (Collected – Candy Store (IRE), by Lope de Vega)4YO Filly5/2

Jockey: Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr.

Trainer: Joe Sharp

Owner/Breeder: Carl R. Moore Management, LLC / Speedway Stables LLC

Pedigree Notes: By Collected, sire of stamina‑laden turf runners; dam is European‑bred, adding class.

Form & Style: Multiple stakes winner; tactical speed and proven finishing kick make her a top contender.

6 – Watchtower (Demarchelier (GB) – Zloty, by Exchange Rate)4YO Filly15/1

Jockey: John R. Velazquez

Trainer: Richard Baltas

Owner/Breeder: Abbondanza Racing, LLC / White Birch Farm, Inc.

Pedigree Notes: By Demarchelier, a son of Dubawi, with a dam from a strong turf family.

Form & Style: Lightly raced; could improve second off the layoff.

7 – No Mo Candy (Uncle Mo – Sweet, by Blame)4YO Filly3/1

Jockey: Irad Ortiz, Jr.

Trainer: Saffie A. Joseph, Jr.

Owner/Breeder: Niall J. Brennan & Michael J. Ryan / Claiborne Farm

Pedigree Notes: By Uncle Mo, a sire of elite turf and dirt runners; dam adds stamina and grit.

Form & Style: Highest speed figure in the field; can sit just off the pace and pounce.

8 – Pharoah’s Wine (American Pharoah – Sweeping Paddy, by Paddy O’Prado)4YO Filly8/1

Jockey: Corey J. Lanerie

Trainer: Dale L. Romans

Owner/Breeder: William Pacella, Nancy Delony & Frank Shoop

Pedigree Notes: By Triple Crown winner American Pharoah, out of a graded turf winner.

Form & Style: Strong late kick; could benefit from a fast early pace.

9 – Adrasteia (Speightster – Arrostos, by Bodemeister)4YO Filly20/1

Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz

Trainer/Owner: Fergus Bogle

Breeder: Mullikin Thoroughbreds

Pedigree Notes: By Speightster, a source of speed; dam line adds versatility.

Form & Style: Outsider on paper; would need a career‑best effort to contend.

Pace & Tactical Analysis

Expect Buttercream Babe, Waves of Mischief, and Vive Veuve to show early intent. No Mo Candy and Grayosh can stalk just behind, while Sparkle Blue and Pharoah’s Wine will look to unleash late runs. A contested pace could set up for closers, but Kentucky Downs’ long stretch rewards tactical movers.

Key Storylines & Betting Angles

Class Edge: Grayosh and No Mo Candy bring graded stakes form.

Local Factor: Kentucky Downs’ unique undulating turf can favor horses with prior experience or adaptable running styles.

Pedigree Power: Sires like Uncle Mo, American Pharoah, Into Mischief, and Hard Spun give this field serious turf credentials.

Value Watch: Pharoah’s Wine offers upside if the pace collapses.