Horse Race Preview: Race 9 – King’s Plate Stakes at Woodbine

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Date & Time: Saturday, August 16, 2025 – Race 9 at 5:34 p.m. ET
Distance: 1¼ miles (10 furlongs)
Surface: Dirt
Purse: $1,000,000
Field: 13 Canadian-bred 3-year-olds

The 166th running of the King’s Plate Stakes marks the first leg of the OLG Canadian Triple Crown, followed by the Prince of Wales Stakes and the Breeders’ Stakes. This year’s edition features a competitive field of 13 sophomores, including standout fillies, stakes winners, and rising stars.

Top Contenders & Race Analysis

No Time (Post 10)

Trainer: Mark Casse

Jockey: John Velazquez

Pedigree: Not This Time × Count to Three (by Red Ransom)

Morning Line Odds: 7-2

Form: 38-5141

Weight: 121 lbs (receives 5 lb allowance as a filly)

Analysis: The lone filly in the field, No Time enters off a dominant win in the Woodbine Oaks, showcasing tactical speed and stamina. Her pedigree is elite—by Not This Time, sire of multiple Grade 1 winners, and out of a mare who produced two Grade 1 siblings. Velazquez’s experience in classic distances adds confidence. She’s a strong single in multi-race wagers.

Ashley’s Archer (Post 13)

Trainer: Mark Casse

Jockey: Sahin Civaci

Pedigree: Karakontie × Certainly Special (by Distorted Humor)

Morning Line Odds: 12-1

Form: 153-262

Analysis: A value play with upside. Civaci and Casse have a strong ROI on Plate day, and Ashley’s Archer has shown consistency at route distances. His pedigree suggests turf versatility and stamina, and he could crash the superfecta at a price.

Sedburys Ghost (Post 12)

Trainer: Barbara Minshall

Jockey: Ryan Munger

Form: 31-141

Recent Win: Beat Notorious Gangster and Scorching in a 1⅛-mile stakes at Woodbine

Analysis: A late-developing colt with tactical speed and a sharp turn of foot. His recent win over key rivals makes him a legitimate threat.

⚡ Notorious Gangster (Post 3)

Trainer: Josie Carroll

Jockey: Fraser Aebly

Form: 171-212

Analysis: Consistent stakes performer with a grinding style. Finished second to Sedburys Ghost last out and could reverse the result with a better trip.

Tom’s Magic (Post 11)

Trainer: Michael Stidham

Jockey: Rafael Hernandez

Form: 21-191

Official Rating: 95

Analysis: The highest-rated horse in the field. Has tactical speed and a strong closing kick. Hernandez is a proven stakes rider at Woodbine.

Other Notables

HorseTrainerJockeyNotes
Mansetti (1)Kevin AttardPietro MoranWon last out over Scorching
William T (2)Donald MacRaeDavid MoranDominant maiden win
Scorching (4)John CharalambousJose LezcanoConsistent stakes form
Mythical Man (5)Danny GarganSofia VivesNeeds rebound
Faber (6)Kevin AttardPietro MoranSolid but lacks punch
Runaway Again (7)Sid AttardJavier CastellanoImpressive maiden win
Dewolf (8)Kevin AttardFlavien PratNeeds pace setup
Watsonville Red (9)Michael De PauloLeo SallesLongshot

Pedigree Spotlight

No Time: By Not This Time, out of Count to Three—Grade 1-producing dam line.

Ashley’s Archer: By Karakontie, a Breeders’ Cup Mile winner, out of Certainly Special (Distorted Humor).

Tom’s Magic: Pedigree suggests stamina and class, ideal for 10 furlongs.

Best Bets for King’s Plate Stakes 2025:

Win: No Time

Value Play: Ashley’s Archer

Exacta Box: No Time / Sedburys Ghost / Tom’s Magic

Superfecta Crasher: Notorious Gangster