Horse Race Preview: Race 9 – Grade II Secretariat Stakes at Colonial Downs

0
41

Track: Colonial Downs (New Kent, VA)

Distance: 1 mile

Surface: Inner Turf

Grade: II

Purse: $500,000

Post Time: 8:41 PM ET

Field Size: 8 runners

Winner’s Share: $315,000

Top Contenders

Dream On (Post 8)

Trainer: Mark Casse

Jockey: Javier Castellano

Odds: 5/2

Form: 35-1511

Official Rating: 106

Notes: Winner of the Penn Mile (G3T). Tactical speed and strong late kick make him the one to beat.

Maui Strong (Post 2)

Trainer: Dale Romans

Jockey: Vincent Cheminaud

Odds: 7/2

Form: 323834

Official Rating: 108

Notes: Consistent turf form. Finished well in the William Garrett Handicap.

End of Romance (IRE) (Post 3)

Trainer: Graham Motion

Jockey: John Velazquez

Odds: 5/1

Form: 131-351

Official Rating: 107

Notes: Irish-bred gelding with strong closing ability. Won allowance at Belmont.

Full Field Breakdown

PostHorseTrainerJockeyOddsRatingFormNotes
1GiocosoJ. Keith DesormeauxBen Curtis6/194361-055G3-placed, needs pace to close
2Maui StrongDale RomansVincent Cheminaud7/2108323834Tactical speed, consistent
3End of Romance (IRE)Graham MotionJohn Velazquez5/1107131-351Irish-bred, strong closer
4SimulateBill MottJunior Alvarado8/19661-41Improving colt, stakes debut
5AntisocialJorge Duarte Jr.Luis Saez10/110133-131Won allowance, needs step up
6AnegadaMike MakerTyler Gaffalione12/11013-81328Gelding with solid turf form
7Cairo CaperPhil SchoenthalVictor Carrasco9/21021154-72Game gelding, second in last stakes
8Dream OnMark CasseJavier Castellano5/210635-1511Penn Mile winner, top turf miler

Strategic Insights

Pace Scenario: Simulate and Antisocial may push the early fractions. Dream On and End of Romance could benefit from a contested pace.

Track Bias: Colonial’s inner turf favors tactical speed and outside closers.

Trainer Trends: Casse and Motion have strong records with turf milers.

Top Pick: Dream On
Value Play: End of Romance (IRE)
Longshot to Watch: Simulate

Suggested Bets:

Win: Dream On

Exacta Box: Dream On / End of Romance

Trifecta: Dream On / Maui Strong / End of Romance