Horse Race Preview: Race 9 – Grade II Hillsborough Stakes at Tampa Bay Downs

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The Grade II Hillsborough Stakes takes place at Tampa Bay Downs in Oldsmar, Florida. This historic venue, established in 1926, features a one-mile dirt oval and a turf course known for its firm conditions during the winter-spring meet, often favoring tactical speed in longer grass races. The day’s first post time is 12:15 PM ET, with Race 9 expected to go off at approximately 4:29 PM ET.

Expected weather conditions in Oldsmar on race day include mostly sunny skies with highs around 82°F and lows near 68°F, light winds from the southeast at 5-8 mph, and humidity around 57%. No significant precipitation is anticipated, leading to a firm turf course that should suit horses with experience on good to firm going.

This $225,000 Grade II stakes is for fillies and mares four years old and upward, contested over 1 1/8 miles on the turf.

It offers black-type prestige and attracts graded veterans, with trainers like Chad C. Brown (two entrants) and Brad H. Cox adding star power. Weights range from 119-123 lbs. The race emphasizes stamina on Tampa’s turf, where inside trips can save ground.

Post PositionHorseJockeyTrainerMorning Line Odds
1Whiskey DecisionFlavien PratChad C. Brown2/1
2Proctor StreetJohn R. VelazquezBrendan P. Walsh9/2
3Dreaming of AbbaAntonio A. GallardoKate O’Connell30/1
4Destino d’OroJunior AlvaradoBrad H. Cox5/2
5Aunt MoIsrael O. RodriguezAntonio O. Agostini50/1
6Child of the MoonIrad Ortiz, Jr.Chad C. Brown5/1
7ScythianJoel RosarioWilliam I. Mott10/1
8And One More TimeJavier CastellanoMark E. Casse6/1

Horse-by-Horse Analysis

1. Whiskey Decision (2/1 ML)
Chad C. Brown trains this 5-year-old Into Mischief mare, ridden by Flavien Prat at 119 lbs. Owned by Alpha Delta Stables, LLC. She’s a consistent turf router with graded form. Recent finishes: 1st in a Gulfstream allowance on 2/14/26 (1 1/16 miles, firm turf, fig 112); 2nd in the Suwannee River (G3) at Gulfstream on 1/17/26 (1 mile, firm turf); 3rd in the Cardinal (G3) at Churchill on 11/28/25 (1 1/8 miles, good turf). Thrives on firm ground and has tactical speed. Brown dominates turf stakes (28% win rate). Prat excels in routes (25% wins). Rail post ideal for saving ground; top contender.

2. Proctor Street (9/2 ML)
Brendan P. Walsh conditions this 5-year-old Street Sense mare, with John R. Velazquez aboard at 119 lbs. Owned by Patricia L. Moseley. Homebred with stamina. Recent finishes: 1st in a Keeneland allowance on 1/31/26 (1 1/8 miles, firm turf, fig 110); 3rd in the Locust Grove (G3) at Churchill on 11/22/25 (1 1/16 miles, good turf); 2nd in a Belmont allowance on 10/19/25 (1 1/8 miles, firm turf). Prefers firm turf. Walsh wins 20% with turf mares. Velazquez Hall of Famer. Post 2 suits stalking; value alternative.

3. Dreaming of Abba (30/1 ML)
Kate O’Connell trains this 5-year-old Fast Anna mare, ridden by Antonio A. Gallardo at 119 lbs. Owned by Carolin Von Rosenberg. Longshot with local ties. Recent finishes: 4th in a Tampa allowance on 2/21/26 (1 mile, firm turf, fig 98); 1st in a Tampa optional claimer on 1/24/26 (1 1/16 miles, firm turf); 5th in a Gulfstream allowance on 12/28/25 (1 mile, good turf). Handles firm best. O’Connell targets Tampa (15% wins). Gallardo leads meet. Post 3 offers options; exotic filler if pace melts.

4. Destino d’Oro (5/2 ML)
Brad H. Cox sends out this 4-year-old Bolt d’Oro filly, with Junior Alvarado up at 123 lbs. Owned by Steve Landers Racing, LLC. Graded winner stretching out. Recent finishes: 1st in the Bayakoa (G3) at Oaklawn on 2/7/26 (1 1/16 miles, fast dirt, fig 115); 2nd in the Falls City (G3) at Churchill on 11/28/25 (1 1/8 miles, fast dirt); 1st in a Keeneland allowance on 10/18/25 (1 mile, firm turf). Versatile surface switcher. Cox powerhouse (25% wins). Alvarado reliable. Post 4 suits pressing; co-favorite on class.

5. Aunt Mo (50/1 ML)
Antonio O. Agostini trains this 4-year-old Uncle Mo filly, ridden by Israel O. Rodriguez at 119 lbs. Owned by Jack Cannon. Overmatched but speedy. Recent finishes: 5th in a Tampa allowance on 2/14/26 (1 mile, firm turf, fig 85); 1st in a Tampa maiden on 1/10/26 (7f turf, firm); 6th debut at Gulfstream on 12/15/25 (1 mile, good turf). Needs big improvement. Agostini wins 10% locally. Rodriguez capable. Post 5 for early pace; longshot.

6. Child of the Moon (5/1 ML)
Chad C. Brown’s second entrant, this 6-year-old The Grey Gatsby (IRE) mare carries Irad Ortiz, Jr. at 119 lbs. Owned by Madaket Stables, LLC et al. Import with closing kick. Recent finishes: 1st in a Gulfstream allowance on 1/31/26 (1 1/8 miles, firm turf, fig 108); 3rd in the Pegasus World Cup Filly & Mare Turf (G2) at Gulfstream on 1/24/26 (1 1/16 miles, firm turf); 2nd in a Belmont stakes on 11/2/25 (1 1/8 miles, good turf). Firm turf preferred. Brown connection boosts. Ortiz elite (30% wins). Post 6 suits rally; live threat.

7. Scythian (10/1 ML)
William I. Mott conditions this 4-year-old Tiz the Law filly, with Joel Rosario aboard at 119 lbs. Owned by Lawrence Goichman. Homebred with upside. Recent finishes: 3rd in a Tampa allowance on 2/7/26 (1 1/16 miles, firm turf, fig 105); 1st in a Gulfstream allowance on 1/17/26 (1 mile, firm turf); 4th in the Jessamine (G2) at Keeneland on 10/3/25 (1 1/16 miles, firm turf). Improving. Mott wins 22% with turf 4YOs. Rosario strong shipper. Post 7 may require energy; exotic value.

8. And One More Time (6/1 ML)
Mark E. Casse trains this 4-year-old Omaha Beach filly, ridden by Javier Castellano at 119 lbs. Owned by Live Oak Plantation. Graded winner as juvenile. Recent finishes: 2nd in a Tampa allowance on 2/21/26 (1 1/16 miles, firm turf, fig 110); 1st in a Woodbine allowance on 1/3/26 (1 mile, synthetic); 5th in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1) on 11/1/25 (1 mile, firm turf). Turf affinity. Casse wins 21% shipping. Castellano turf specialist. Outside post 8 suits closing; upset potential.