Venue: Keeneland Race Course — Lexington, Kentucky
Scheduled Post Time: 5:16 PM ET
Purse: $650,000
Distance: 7 furlongs (Dirt)
Conditions: Fillies & Mares, 4‑years‑old and up
Expected Weather Conditions (Inference)
No race‑specific weather data was provided in the sources.
Typical early‑April Lexington conditions:
55–64°F
Dry to partly cloudy
Keeneland dirt typically FAST barring rain
(Inference only — not sourced.)
Full Field Analysis (8 Fillies & Mares)
PP #1 — Eclatant (4/1)
Pedigree: Into Mischief – Downside Scenario
Age: 4
Weight: 123 lbs
Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr.
Trainer: Brad Cox
Owner: Stonestreet Stables
Recent Form: 194‑1 (Racing Post)
Analysis:
Returned from a long layoff with a sharp Gulfstream allowance win. Into Mischief progeny excel at Keeneland sprint stakes. Ortiz is a major upgrade. A serious win threat with tactical speed.
PP #2 — Sterling Silver (10/1)
Pedigree: Cupid – Sheet Humor
Age: 7
Weight: 123 lbs
Jockey: Jose Ortiz
Trainer: Anthony Margotta Jr.
Recent Form: 311‑22 (Racing Post)
Analysis:
A millionaire mare with 11 wins. Blinkers go on for the first time, but she is 0‑for‑3 at Keeneland, which is a concern. Still consistent enough to hit the board.
PP #3 — Clicquot (6/1)
Pedigree: Quality Road – Royal Obsession
Age: 4
Weight: 123 lbs
Jockey: Flavien Prat
Trainer: Brendan Walsh
Recent Form: 11114‑ (Racing Post)
Analysis:
A Grade I Cotillion winner returning from a Breeders’ Cup Distaff fourth. Proven at Keeneland and owns a strong late kick. A major contender in a hot‑pace scenario.
PP #4 — Ragtime (5/1)
Pedigree: Union Rags – Burmilla
Age: 4
Weight: 123 lbs
Jockey: John Velazquez
Trainer: Bill Mott
Recent Form: 12133‑ (Racing Post)
Analysis:
A late‑running sprinter who excels at 7 furlongs. Multiple graded placings and a strong finisher. With a projected hot pace, Ragtime becomes a dangerous closer.
PP #5 — Grand Job (2/1, Morning‑Line Favorite)
Pedigree: Justify – Sure Route (GB)
Age: 5
Weight: 123 lbs
Jockey: Junior Alvarado
Trainer: Bill Mott
Recent Form: /218‑1 (Racing Post)
Analysis:
Comes in off an impressive Gulfstream win and is in the best form of her career. Mott has her razor‑sharp. The deserving favorite and most likely winner.
PP #6 — R Disaster (3/1)
Pedigree: Awesome Slew – Making Havoc
Age: 5
Weight: 123 lbs
Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer: Saffie Joseph Jr.
Recent Form: 2112‑1 (Racing Post)
Analysis:
A graded‑stakes winner at 4 and now 5. Strong early speed and excellent form. Joseph’s barn is firing. A top‑three contender.
PP #7 — Praying (20/1)
Pedigree: Vekoma – Pray for Leslie
Age: 4
Weight: 123 lbs
Jockey: Joel Rosario
Trainer: Robert Medina
Recent Form: 27117‑ (Racing Post)
Analysis:
A Grade II winner but inconsistent. Needs a perfect trip and pace collapse. Deep exotic option.
PP #8 — Mystic Lake (20/1)
Pedigree: Mo Town – Salty Soul
Age: 5
Weight: 123 lbs
Jockey: Luis Saez
Trainer: Saffie Joseph Jr.
Recent Form: 113‑11 (Racing Post)
Analysis:
A Grade II winner with tactical speed. Saez is aggressive and could carve out a good trip. A live longshot.
Track Conditions & Recent Form Summary
Keeneland dirt listed FAST for April 4, 2026.
Multiple Grade I and Grade II winners make this one of the deepest Madison fields in years.
Pace expected to be extremely hot, favoring closers like Ragtime and Clicquot.
Exacta Recommendations
5 over 3, 4, 1
3 over 5, 4
Trifecta Structure
5 / 3, 4 / 1, 3, 4, 6, 8
3 / 5 / 1, 4, 6
