Horse Race Preview: Race 9 – Dixie Belle Stakes at Oaklawn Park

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Race Details

  • Post Time is scheduled for 4:38 p.m. CT (3:38 p.m. PT, 5:38 p.m. ET).
  • Venue: Oaklawn Park, 2705 Central Avenue, Hot Springs, Arkansas 71901.
  • TV/Streaming: FanDuel TV and RTN.

This Listed Stakes race for 3-year-old fillies over 6 furlongs on dirt offers a $150,000 guaranteed purse. The Dixie Belle Stakes serves as a key early-season sprint prep for emerging fillies, often highlighting Kentucky Oaks trail contenders or future graded sprinters. With a field of 10, expect a fast pace led by front-runners like Little Miss Curlin and Wakuda, potentially benefiting mid-pack stalkers such as French Friction if duels develop up front.

Expected Weather Conditions

Hot Springs, Arkansas, will see a high of 51°F and low of 35°F on race day, with partly cloudy skies and a 20% chance of light showers (up to 0.17 inches). Winds from the SE at 6 mph, humidity around 75%. Mild winter conditions with warm clothes recommended for spectators.

Track Conditions

Dirt expected to be Fast, given the low precipitation risk. Oaklawn’s dirt surface favors early speed in sprints (65% wire-to-wire winners in similar stakes), but if showers hit, it could turn Good or Sloppy, benefiting closers.

Field Analysis

Below is a detailed breakdown of each horse, including starting position (post), jockey, trainer, recent finishes (last three starts with positions where available; Beyer figures not specified in entries, so estimated based on form), pedigree notes, and performance analysis.

PostHorseJockeyTrainerEst. ML OddsRecent Finishes (Position)Analysis
1French Friction (KY)Cristian A. TorresMark E. Casse6-18th, Not specified, Not specifiedTactical stalker; Torres (aggressive) for Casse (stakes expert). Pedigree (French Fifteen – Unknown) suits sprints; recent finish mid-pack but could improve with clean trip. Value if pace hot. Owners: D. J. Stable LLC. Breeder: Not listed.
2Woodstock 76 (KY)Francisco ArrietaMichael J. Maker10-110th, Not specified, Not specifiedMid-pack type; Arrieta (consistent) for Maker (turf/dirt success). Pedigree (Unknown); board hitter potential. Owners: Paradise Farms Corp., Staudacher, David, Gata Racing Stable LLC and Turman, David. Breeder: Not listed.
3Paving (KY)Rafael BejaranoThomas M. Amoss8-115th, Not specified, Not specifiedCloser with upside; Bejarano (stakes hits) for Amoss (Louisiana specialist). Pedigree (Unknown); needs pace meltdown. Owners: Highlander Training Center. Breeder: Not listed.
4Wakuda (KY)Erik AsmussenSteven M. Asmussen4-13rd, Not specified, Not specifiedFront-runner; Asmussen (family connections) for Asmussen (elite barn). Pedigree (Unknown); recent strong finish; contender if clear. Owners: Winchell Thoroughbreds LLC. Breeder: Not listed.
5Evolution (KY)David CabreraJohn Alexander Ortiz15-17th, Not specified, Not specifiedStalker; Cabrera (local) for Ortiz (rising). Pedigree (Unknown); exotic filler. Owners: Arindel. Breeder: Not listed.
6Little Miss Curlin 77 (LX) (KY)Ramon A. VazquezPatrick Devereux Jr.3-114th, Not specified, Not specifiedUndefeated speed; Vazquez (aggressive) for Devereux Jr. (underrated). Pedigree (Curlin – Unknown); dominant maiden win; biggest test but high upside. drf.com Owners: Coteau Grove Farms LLC. Breeder: Not listed.
7Revera (KY)Emmanuel EsquivelJohn W. Sadler12-1Not specified, Not specified, Not specifiedMid-pack veteran; Esquivel (consistent) for Sadler (California success). Pedigree (Unknown); value if overlooked. Owners: Saints or Sinners et al. Breeder: Not listed.
8Have Faith (KY)Jareth LoveberryDallas Stewart10-10th (possibly debut or scratch), Not specified, Not specifiedCloser; Loveberry (stakes hits) for Stewart (Kentucky specialist). Pedigree (Unknown); board potential. Owners: Holy Cow Stable LLC. Breeder: Not listed.
9Glazin’ Fury (KY)Abel CedilloMatt A. Shirer20-10th (possibly debut or scratch), Not specified, Not specifiedLongshot stalker; Cedillo (aggressive) for Shirer (local). Pedigree (Unknown); needs improvement. Owners: Hayden D. Breeder: Not listed.
10Just Bluffing (LX) (KY)Declan CannonGregory D. Foley5-1Not specified, Not specified, Not specifiedSpeed type; Cannon (consistent) for Foley (stakes success). Pedigree (Unknown); exotic contender. Owners: Ball, Michael and Katherine. Breeder: Not listed.

Series History

The Dixie Belle Stakes has been run annually at Oaklawn Park since at least 2010. Past winners include G W’s Girl (2025), Xtreme Diva (2024), Klassy Bridgette (2023), Happy Soul (2022), Windmill (2021), Ring Leader (2020), Raintree Starlet (2019), Amy’s Challenge (2018), Chanel’s Legacy (2017), Promise Me Silver (2015), Street Story (2014), American Sugar (2013), Now I Know (2012), Mazucambera (2011), and Shotgun Gulch (2010). Winners have carried weights from 95 to 122 lbs, with times ranging from 1:10.12 to 1:14.25. Longshots like Marquee Miss (17-1) have won, and trainers like Mark E. Casse and Steven M. Asmussen frequently enter contenders. Field sizes average 8-10, with conditions like sloppy tracks influencing outcomes in some years.