Horse Race Preview: Race 9 – Amsterdam Stakes at Saratoga

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Saratoga Race Course, Saratoga Springs, NY
Friday, July 25, 2025 – Post Time: 5:53 PM ET
Grade 2 – $200,000 Purse – 6.5 Furlongs – Dirt – 3-Year-Old Colts

Race Overview

The 2025 Amsterdam Stakes is a key Grade 2 sprint for 3-year-olds, serving as a prep for the prestigious H. Allen Jerkens Memorial Stakes (G1) later in the Saratoga meet. With a field of eight talented sophomores, many rebounding from off-track performances, this 6.5-furlong dash promises blistering early fractions and a thrilling stretch duel.

Field Analysis: Horses, Jockeys, Trainers & Pedigrees

PPHorseJockeyTrainerPedigreeML Odds
1Macho MusicIrad Ortiz Jr.Rohan CrichtonMaclean’s Music × Southern Girl2-1
2GaramondFlavien PratChad BrownUncle Mo × Blue Watch (by Tapit)7-2
3Smoken WickedBrian Hernandez Jr.Dallas StewartBobby’s Wicked One × Street Smoke6-1
4T KraftJose LezcanoBill MottConnect × Margarita Friday8-1
5Gate to WireDylan DavisTodd PletcherMunnings × Sansibar Jewel5-1
6GunmetalLuis SaezBrad CoxGun Runner × Classy Dancer9-2
7Mati GolJunior AlvaradoVictor Barboza Jr.Win Win Win × Full Flower Moon15-1
8UncagedKendrick CarmoucheTodd PletcherCurlin × Dark Nile15-1

Top Contenders & Strategic Insights

Macho Music

Form: Winner of the G2 Pat Day Mile; set blazing fractions in the Woody Stephens before fading.

Pedigree: Maclean’s Music progeny excel in sprints.

Tactics: Draws the rail with Irad Ortiz Jr.—expect aggressive early speed.

Garamond

Form: Third in the Gotham (G3); flopped on a sloppy track in the Pegasus Stakes.

Pedigree: Uncle Mo × Tapit mare—elite sprinting bloodlines.

Trainer Confidence: Chad Brown believes a dry track will unlock his best.

Gunmetal

Form: Strong maiden and allowance wins; troubled trip in the Woody Stephens.

Pedigree: Gun Runner × Speightstown mare—speed and class.

Trainer: Brad Cox has kept him fresh with five Saratoga works.

Other Notables

Gate to Wire: Won the Swale Stakes over Macho Music; late-running style could benefit from pace meltdown.

Smoken Wicked: Grade 2-placed at Saratoga; consistent stakes performer.

T Kraft: Three-race win streak earlier this year; needs rebound from muddy Stephens effort.

Uncaged: Late closer with pedigree upside; enters off a strong allowance win.

Mati Gol: Won the Carry Back Stakes on a sloppy track; longshot with upside.

Betting Strategy & Projected Finish

Top Pick: Macho Music – proven class, rail draw, and Ortiz’s aggressive riding.

Value Play: Gunmetal – sharp works and pedigree suggest bounce-back potential.

Exotics: Include Garamond, Gate to Wire, and Smoken Wicked for trifecta/superfecta depth.

Predicted Order of Finish:
Macho Music
Gunmetal
Garamond
Gate to Wire