Venue and Schedule
Location: Aqueduct Racetrack, South Ozone Park, Queens, New York
Race: Pebbles Stakes (Grade III, Race 8)
Post Time: 3:39 PM ET
Distance & Surface: 1 1/16 miles on the outer turf (rail at 36 feet)
Purse: $175,000
Expected Weather & Track Conditions
Forecast: Partly cloudy, temperatures in the low 50s, light NW winds.
Track outlook: Turf expected to be firm/good, favoring tactical speed and stalkers.
Note: NYRA reserves the right to move the race to dirt if weather shifts, but forecast suggests turf will hold.
Runner-by-Runner Analysis
Fast Market (Post 1, Prat/Terranova, 2/1)
Profile: Consistent graded-level filly with tactical speed.
Strengths: Rail draw + Prat’s patient ride; strong finishing kick.
Risks: Needs clean trip; vulnerable if pace collapses.
Correto (Post 2, Rodriguez/Motion, 12/1)
Profile: Calumet homebred; steady allowance type.
Strengths: Motion excels with turf fillies; could improve.
Risks: Lacks graded stakes punch; outsider.
Starship Pegasus (Post 3, Castellano/Nevin, 30/1)
Profile: NY-bred longshot.
Strengths: Castellano’s timing; could save ground.
Risks: Outclassed; best hope minor placing.
Paradise City (Post 5, Franco/Joseph Jr., 5/1)
Profile: McKinzie filly with improving form.
Strengths: Tactical speed; Joseph barn sharp in NY.
Risks: Needs pace to set up; mid-pack grinder.
Sweet Treasure (Post 6, Geroux/Cox, 7/2)
Profile: Twirling Candy filly with graded upside.
Strengths: Cox barn excels in turf stakes; Geroux fits her stalking style.
Risks: Needs clear lane; vulnerable if pace is slow.
Love You Anyway (Post 7, Lezcano/Arnold II, 12/1)
Profile: Tapit filly with flashes of ability.
Strengths: Lezcano’s turf savvy; could surprise.
Risks: Inconsistent; needs career-best effort.
Peak Hype (Post 8, Santana Jr./Brown, 3/1)
Profile: More Than Ready filly; Brown trainee.
Strengths: Strong late kick; Brown’s turf record is elite.
Risks: Wide draw; needs pace to collapse.
