Venue Location
Sunland Park Racetrack & Casino is located at 1200 Futurity Dr, Sunland Park, NM 88063. Situated near the borders of New Mexico, Texas, and Mexico, this track opened in 1959 and features a one-mile dirt oval, hosting both Thoroughbred and Quarter Horse racing with a focus on New Mexico-bred events.
Post Time is scheduled for 3:04 p.m. MT (2:04 p.m. PT / 5:04 p.m. ET). This is a stakes race for New Mexico-bred 3-year-old fillies, run at 6 furlongs on the dirt, with a purse of $80,000.
Expected Weather Conditions
The forecast for Sunland Park, NM, on January 19, 2026, indicates partly cloudy skies with a high of 66°F and a low of 30°F. Winds will be light and variable at 5-10 mph from the west, with low humidity around 25-35% and no precipitation expected. These dry, mild conditions should favor consistent performances without weather-related excuses.
Track Conditions
The La Senora Stakes will be run on Sunland Park’s main dirt track, which is typically fast and fair, favoring speed horses with good early positioning. Given the forecast of no rain and recent dry weather, the track is expected to be rated as fast. Sunland Park’s dirt surface often benefits inside posts and frontrunners in sprints, but closers can rally if the pace is hot.
Analysis of Each Horse, Jockey, and Trainer
This field of seven New Mexico-bred 3-year-old fillies features a competitive mix, with multiple entries from trainer Todd Fincher and a standout from Dick Cappellucci. The race could see early pace pressure from horses like Country Club Crush or American Prada, setting up for stalkers like Caprock Cutie. Below is a detailed breakdown, including starting position (post position/PP), recent finishes (last 5 where available, inferred from speed figures and form notes), breeding, and analysis. Morning line (ML) odds are provided. Speed figures (in parentheses) are from the last race.
| PP | Horse (Age/Sex/Color) | Sire – Dam | Trainer | Jockey | ML Odds | Recent Finishes (Date/Track/Distance/Surface/Position/Speed Figure/Notes) | Analysis |
| 1 | I Am Paula Revere (3/Filly) | American Anthem – Paula’s Song | Todd W. Fincher (top NM trainer; 25% win rate in stakes, excels with juveniles) | Olaf Hernandez (experienced local; 18% win rate at SUN) | 3/1 | Limited details; last race speed figure 91 (strong debut or allowance win); prior forms suggest consistent in-state efforts (e.g., 2nd in NM-bred maiden at ZIA). | Well-bred filly with tactical speed; Fincher’s go-to for stakes. Hernandez can position her inside for a ground-saving trip. Value if pace duel develops. Owner: Not specified. |
| 2 | Country Club Crush (3/Filly) | Marking – Country Club Lane | Dallas J. Barton (solid with NM-breds; 15% win rate) | Miguel T. Fuentes, Jr. (aggressive speed rider; 20% win rate at SUN) | 7/2 | Last race speed figure 81 (likely allowance or stakes place); recent pattern shows early speed but fades late (e.g., 3rd at ZIA 5.5f). | Speedy type who could wire if unchallenged; Barton preps well for sprints. Fuentes will send from the gate. Vulnerable if pressed. Owner: Not specified. |
| 3 | Mark’s Sassy Girl (3/Filly) | Marking – Sassy Silk | Todd W. Fincher | Guillermo Rodriguez (versatile; 16% win rate) | 5/2 | Debut speed figure -1 (possibly scratched or no figure); new to stakes but Fincher juveniles often improve sharply. | Untested but promising; Fincher’s barn is hot with young fillies. Rodriguez adds patience. Could surprise with class drop. Owner: Not specified. |
| 4 | Who Said It’s Easy (3/Filly) | Sporting Chance – Easy Peasy | Todd W. Fincher | Oscar Andrade, Jr. (up-and-coming; 12% win rate) | 20/1 | Last race speed figure 76 (mid-pack finish in allowance); pattern of even efforts (e.g., 4th at ZIA, 5th prior). | Longshot with stamina but lacks speed; Fincher might use as a closer. Andrade needs a perfect trip. Exotic filler at best. Owner: Not specified. |
| 5 | American Prada (3/Filly) | American Anthem – Prada Cat | Todd W. Fincher | Luis A. Valenzuela (top rider; 22% win rate at SUN, great on speed) | 8/1 | Last race speed figure 92 (strong win or place); consistent sprinter (e.g., 1st at ZIA 6f, 2nd prior). | Fincher’s fourth entry; sharp speed figures suggest she’s live. Valenzuela excels in sprints. Could stalk and pounce. Owner: Not specified. |
| 6 | Trump Dance (3/Filly) | Runaway Ghost – Dance With Trump | Martin Manuel Valdez-Cabral (underrated; 14% win rate) | Luis Negron (strong finisher; 19% win rate) | 20/1 | Last race speed figure 64 (poor effort); struggling form (e.g., 6th at ZIA, off-the-board prior). | Outsider needing major improvement; Valdez-Cabral occasionally upsets. Negron might rally late, but class hike tough. Owner: Not specified. |
| 7 | Caprock Cutie (3/Filly) | Marking – Caprock Canyon | Dick Cappellucci (leading trainer; 28% win rate, hot streak) | Alfredo J. Juarez, Jr. (Hall of Famer; 24% win rate at SUN, master stalker) | 2/1 | Last race speed figure 100 (dominant win in Lea County S. at ZIA by 4 1/2 lengths); prior: 1st allowance, 2nd stakes. | Class dropper and standout; Cappellucci on fire with NM-breds. Juarez perfect for her closing style. Heavy favorite deservedly. Owner: Not specified. |
