Venue and Schedule
Location: Del Mar Racetrack, Del Mar, California (“Where the Surf Meets the Turf”)
Race: Red Carpet Stakes (Grade III, Race 7)
Post Time: 3:32 PM PT
Distance & Surface: 1 3/8 miles on turf
Purse: $100,000
Sources:
Expected Weather & Track Conditions
Forecast: Sunny skies, temperatures in the mid‑60s, light coastal breeze.
Track outlook: Turf expected to be firm, favoring tactical speed and stalkers.
Runner-by-Runner Analysis
Mrs. Astor — Post 2 — Rispoli/Thomas — ML 5/2
Profile: Defending champion; Augustin Stables homebred.
Strengths: Proven at course and distance; tactical speed.
Risks: Must fend off improving rivals.
Will Then — Post 4 — Berrios/Thomas — ML 4/1
Profile: War of Will filly; lightly raced.
Strengths: Strong Del Mar Oaks effort; upside.
Risks: Needs to prove stamina at 11 furlongs.
Public Assembly — Post 5 — Fresu/D’Amato — ML 5/1
Profile: More Than Ready filly; consistent.
Strengths: D’Amato excels with turf fillies; tactical versatility.
Risks: May lack late punch against top tier.
Musical Rhapsody (IRE) — Post 10 — Ayuso/D’Amato — ML 5/1
Profile: Irish import; strong late kick.
Strengths: Classy European form; fits distance.
Risks: Wide draw could force extra ground.
Venganza — Post 9 — Demuro/Mandella — ML 8/1
Profile: Curlin mare; Bass family homebred.
Strengths: Strong pedigree; Mandella’s conditioning.
Risks: Needs pace to collapse.
Paradise Lake — Post 6 — Hernandez/Eurton — ML 8/1
Profile: Uncle Mo filly; improving.
Strengths: Hernandez’s tactical riding; solid figures.
Risks: Faces deeper field.
Cornelia Fort — Post 8 — Baze/Mathis — ML 15/1
Profile: Grazen mare; local connections.
Strengths: Can grind into exotics.
Risks: Lacks graded stakes punch.
Hey Jessie — Post 3 — Smith/McCarthy — ML 15/1
Profile: Grazen filly; lightly raced.
Strengths: Smith’s experience; upside.
Risks: Needs big step forward.
Mahina — Post 1 — Pereira/Gallagher — ML 20/1
Profile: Bolt d’Oro mare; outsider.
Strengths: Rail trip; could save ground.
Risks: Outclassed.
Sun Of Hill (BRZ) — Post 7 — Kimura/D’Amato — ML 20/1
Profile: Brazilian‑bred mare.
Strengths: D’Amato’s training; stamina pedigree.
Risks: Form inconsistent.
