Horse Race Preview: Race 7 – Fourstar Crooked Stakes at Aqueduct

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Purse: $200,000 • Distance: 6½ furlongs • Surface: Dirt
Eligibility: 3‑year‑old fillies (NY Stallion Stakes Series–eligible)
Scheduled Post Time: 4:21 p.m. ET

Venue & Track Profile

Aqueduct Racetrack, located in Ozone Park, Queens, is a historic NYRA facility known for its long homestretch and fair, pace‑honest dirt surface. The 6½‑furlong configuration begins on the backstretch chute, giving sprinters ample run‑up before the turn.

Expected Weather & Track Conditions (April 11, 2026)

While no official forecast is published in the entries, early‑April Aqueduct cards typically run on cool, dry spring afternoons. Based on seasonal norms and recent meet patterns, bettors should expect:

Temperature: mid‑50s to low‑60s (inference)

Wind: light coastal breeze (inference)

Track Condition: Fast unless rain intervenes (inference)

These are seasonal expectations, not official forecasts.

Field Analysis: 2026 Fourstar Crooked Stakes

Below is a horse‑by‑horse breakdown including post position, connections, pedigree, morning‑line odds, and form‑based analysis.

All horses carry 120 lbs per NYRA conditions.

PP #1 – Miss Jane Hathaway

ML Odds: 8‑1
Jockey: Reylu Gutierrez
Trainer: James W. Ferraro
Owner/Breeder: James Corrao
Pedigree: Central Banker – Flippity Flop

Analysis

A homebred with tactical speed and improving figures. Central Banker progeny excel in NY‑bred sprint stakes, and Ferraro spots his fillies aggressively. She’ll need a step forward to beat the top choices, but the rail draw gives her options to sit just behind the pace.

PP #2 – Clap Back

ML Odds: 15‑1
Jockey: Dylan Davis
Trainer: Peter Miller
Owner: Rachel L. Gerson
Breeder: Hidden Lake Farm LLC
Pedigree: Galilean – Candy d’Oro

Analysis

A longshot with some early foot, though her speed figures lag behind the top contenders. Miller ships selectively to NYRA circuits, often with intent, but she must show a new dimension to contend at this class level.

PP #3 – Greek Goddess

ML Odds: 5‑2 (Second Choice)
Jockey: Jaime Rodriguez
Trainer: Dimitrios K. Synnefias
Owner: Peter Kazamias
Breeder: Kaz Hill Farm
Pedigree: Name Changer – Behrnik’s Bank

Analysis

The morning‑line second choice and a filly with strong forward form. Her pedigree leans toward stamina‑infused sprinting, and she has consistently run competitive figures. She projects to sit a perfect stalking trip behind the expected speed of Hot Currency and Power of Women.

PP #4 – Power of Women

ML Odds: 8‑1
Jockey: Kendrick Carmouche
Trainer: Richard E. Dutrow Jr.
Owner: Flying P Stable
Breeder: Saul Kupferberg
Pedigree: Big Brown – Woman Power

Analysis

A physically imposing filly with a grinding style. Carmouche excels with aggressive mid‑pack movers at Aqueduct. If the pace gets hot, she becomes a major late threat. Dutrow’s runners often fire fresh in stakes company.

PP #5 – Hot Currency

ML Odds: 1‑1 (Heavy Favorite)
Jockey: Manuel Franco
Trainer: Linda Rice
Owners: Winning Move Stable et al.
Breeder: BHMFR, LLC
Pedigree: Central Banker – Calidez

Analysis

The clear morning‑line favorite, and deservedly so. Rice dominates NY‑bred sprint divisions, and Hot Currency brings the strongest combination of speed, class, and consistency. Expect her to be on or just off the lead. If she shakes loose early, the race may be over by the eighth pole.

PP #6 – Rock Steady Babe

ML Odds: 15‑1
Jockey: Jorge A. Vargas Jr.
Trainer/Owner/Breeder: Charlton Baker
Pedigree: King for a Day – Very Accomplished

Analysis

A durable filly with grinding stamina. Baker’s homebreds often outrun their odds, but she’ll need a career‑best effort to threaten the top tier. Useful for deeper exotics if the pace collapses.

PP #7 – Hip Hop Dancer

ML Odds: 20‑1
Jockey: Dalila A. Rivera
Trainer: Ralph D’Alessandro
Owner: Bernardo Mongil III
Breeder: Monhill Farm LLC
Pedigree: Combatant – Newyorkciti Dancer

Analysis

The longest shot in the field. She has some pedigree appeal—her dam was a fast NY‑bred sprinter—but her recent form suggests she’s overmatched. Would need a major pace meltdown and a big leap forward.

PP #8 – Irish Fortune

ML Odds: 10‑1
Jockey: Ricardo Santana Jr.
Trainer: Thomas Morley
Owner/Breeder: Irikan LLC
Pedigree: Central Banker – Irish Whisper

Analysis

A live mid‑price option. Santana is a strong finisher, and Morley places his fillies well in NY‑bred stakes. She has enough tactical speed to stay in touch and could be the “wise‑guy” horse if Hot Currency falters.

Projected Pace Scenario

Hot Currency (PP5) likely sends early.

Clap Back (PP2) and Miss Jane Hathaway (PP1) apply pressure.

Greek Goddess (PP3) sits the ideal stalking trip.

Power of Women (PP4) and Irish Fortune (PP8) look to capitalize late.

A moderate‑to‑fast pace is expected, which could set up a closer if the favorite is softened early.

Predicted Order of Finish (Model Projection)

1. Hot Currency (PP5) – Class edge + tactical speed
2. Greek Goddess (PP3) – Perfect trip candidate
3. Irish Fortune (PP8) – Value play with upside
4. Power of Women (PP4) – Late kick for exotics