Horse Race Preview: Race 6 – Tyson Gilpin Stakes at Colonial Downs

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Track: Colonial Downs (New Kent, VA)

Distance: 7 furlongs

Surface: Dirt

Purse: $100,000

Post Time: 7:36 PM ET

Field Size: 11 runners

Winner’s Share: $63,000

Top Contenders

Decadent (Post 9)

Trainer: Kenneth McPeek

Jockey: Brian Hernandez Jr.

Odds: 5/1

Form: 1-1

Official Rating: 102

Notes: Undefeated filly with sharp closing kick. Lightly raced but highly promising.

Coco Abarrio (Post 7)

Trainer: Carlos Luis Perez

Jockey: Edgar Perez

Odds: 15/1

Form: 1-221

Official Rating: 103

Notes: Speedy filly with strong early fractions. Could steal it if left alone up front.

Impulse Buy (Post 2)

Trainer: Rodolphe Brisset

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione

Odds: 4/1

Form: 2121-85

Official Rating: 93

Notes: Stakes-placed filly with tactical speed. Needs clean trip.

Full Field Breakdown

PostHorseTrainerJockeyOddsFormRatingNotes
1G W’s GirlGreg ComptonJaime Rodriguez9/215-114494Solid form, needs pace to close
2Impulse BuyRodolphe BrissetTyler Gaffalione4/12121-8593Tactical speed, stakes experience
3ReputationGustavo DelgadoJavier Castellano6/135-14197Improving filly, strong late kick
4ZaghrutaBrad CoxReylu Gutierrez12/147131194Versatile, but needs step up
5NerazurriAngel QuirozJorge Ruiz20/114136271Outsider, inconsistent form
6Complexity JaneBrittany RussellJevian Toledo10/1121887Lightly raced, potential upside
7Coco AbarrioCarlos Luis PerezEdgar Perez15/11-221103Fast filly, dangerous on lead
8Dancing MagicMichael CampbellMychel Sanchez6/1243-15486Needs pace, solid closer
9DecadentKenneth McPeekBrian Hernandez Jr.5/11-1102Undefeated, rising star
10FedeArmando De la CerdaJohn Velazquez10/135131388Game filly, needs trip
11Kimchi CatThomas AmossBen Curtis15/1110-10973Longshot, needs major improvement

Strategic Insights

Pace Scenario: Coco Abarrio and Impulse Buy likely to contest early lead. Decadent and Reputation could benefit from a pressured pace.

Track Bias: Colonial Downs dirt favors stalkers and closers in 7f sprints.

Trainer Trends: McPeek and Brisset have strong records with fillies in sprint stakes.

Top Pick: Decadent
Value Play: Reputation
Longshot to Watch: Coco Abarrio

Suggested Bets:

Win: Decadent

Exacta Box: Decadent / Reputation

Trifecta: Decadent / Coco Abarrio / Impulse Buy