Horse Race Preview: Race 5 – John Valene Memorial Stakes at Fair Grounds

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Venue & Race Details

Location: Fair Grounds Race Course, New Orleans, LA

Post Time: 2:45 PM CT (Race 5)

Distance: 1 mile & 70 yards (dirt)

Purse: $100,000 (winner earns $63,000)

Weather & Track Conditions

Forecast: Mild New Orleans afternoon, 68°F, partly cloudy, winds 7–10 mph.

Track: Dirt expected to be fast, favoring front-runners and tactical speed.

Field Analysis (Post Positions, Horses, Jockeys, Trainers, Odds)

Pickin Ana Grinnin (12/1)

Jockey: C.J. McMahon

Trainer: Shane Wilson

Recent Form: 11-0-9-4-6; inconsistent, but has tactical speed.

Notes: Veteran mare, likely to sit mid-pack.

For Harper (12/1)

Jockey: Ben Curtis

Trainer: Sturges Ducoing

Recent Form: 22-5-3-3-4; steady but lacks finishing kick.

Notes: Needs pace meltdown to contend.

Rising Inflation (7/5, favorite)

Jockey: Isaac Castillo

Trainer: Jonathan Wong

Recent Form: 33-1-1-1-4; multiple wins, strong stakes performer.

Notes: Class of the field, tactical speed, proven at distance.

Clearly A Test (6/1)

Jockey: Paco Lopez

Trainer: Shane Wilson

Recent Form: 44-2-3-7-7; black-type winner earlier this meet.

Notes: Dangerous if pace collapses; Lopez adds confidence.

Norah G (9/5)

Jockey: Axel Concepcion

Trainer: Patricia West

Recent Form: 66-1-1-1; comes off stakes win, sharp form.

Notes: Strong contender, versatile running style.

Highly Wicked (4/1)

Jockey: Marcelino Pedroza Jr.

Trainer: Sam David Jr.

Recent Form: 111-1-1-1; turf success, but dirt form solid.

Notes: Consistent mare, could press pace early.

Betting Trends & Suggested Wagers

Favorites: Rising Inflation has been heavily bet in recent stakes; strong win candidate.

Value Play: Norah G offers near-favorite odds but sharper recent form.

Longshot: Clearly A Test could surprise if pace collapses.