Venue: Finger Lakes Racetrack, Farmington, New York
Post-Time: 2:27 PM ET
Race Conditions: $50,000 stakes, 3-year-old colts & geldings, 6 furlongs on dirt
Purse Distribution: $31,500 (1st), $10,000 (2nd), $5,000 (3rd), $3,500 (4th)
Weather Forecast: Cloudy with scattered showers; track likely fast to good, but a sealed/sloppy surface is possible if rain intensifies
Runner-by-Runner Analysis
1. Gray Haired Gus (8-1)
Profile: Mission Impazible gelding, experienced but modest ceiling.
Form: 6: 1-0-3; often finds minor awards.
Connections: Buckley/Navarro combo solid locally.
Verdict: Needs pace collapse; best used underneath in exotics.
2. Hit The Post (8/5 Fav)
Profile: Kantharos gelding, class standout.
Form: Runner-up in NY Derby and Albany Stakes; cutting back to 6f is key.
Connections: Trainer Melanie Giddings has him sharp; Elliott retains mount.
Verdict: Clear horse to beat; tactical speed and class edge.
3. Rockinmoney (4-1)
Profile: Mr. Monomoy gelding with upside.
Form: 5: 1-1-1; competitive allowance/stakes tries.
Connections: Ferraro barn excels with local stakes; Coa fits.
Verdict: Logical contender for exacta/trifecta.
4. Kismeholdmethrlme (5-1)
Profile: Solomini gelding, durable and consistent.
Form: 13: 1-2-1; often in frame but rarely wins.
Connections: Rachel Sells barn in form; Flores knows him well.
Verdict: Reliable underneath; hard to see on top.
5. Rock Star Rebel (3-1)
Profile: Thousand Words gelding, improving with maturity.
Form: 12: 2-2-1; recent wins show upside.
Connections: Michael Ferraro + Sofia Vives = potent local combo.
Verdict: Main danger to Hit The Post; versatile running style.
6. Cast A Coin (6-1)
Profile: Central Banker gelding, lightly accomplished.
Form: 7-6-4-7 in last four; struggling at this level.
Connections: Falk/Russell team; longshot appeal only.
Verdict: Needs major improvement; outsider.
Pace & Race Shape
Early Speed: Rock Star Rebel (5), Rockinmoney (3)
Stalkers: Hit The Post (2), Kismeholdmethrlme (4)
Closers: Gray Haired Gus (1), Cast A Coin (6)
Expect Rock Star Rebel and Rockinmoney to contest the lead, with Hit The Post sitting just off the pace. If the track turns sloppy, speed may hold even stronger.
Suggested Wagers
Win/Place: #2 Hit The Post (8/5)
Value Win Saver: #5 Rock Star Rebel (3-1)
Exacta: 2 over 3,5,4
Trifecta: 2 / 5,3 / 5,3,4,1
Superfecta (small units): 2 / 5 / 3,4 / 1,6
Key Takeaways
Hit The Post is the class dropper and most likely winner.
Rock Star Rebel is the improving danger with tactical versatility.
Rockinmoney and Kismeholdmethrlme are reliable exotic fillers.
Gray Haired Gus could clunk up late for a price in supers.
Horse Race Preview: Race 7 – Lady Finger Stakes at Finger Lakes
Venue: Finger Lakes Racetrack, Farmington, New York
Post-Time: 3:54 PM ET
Race Conditions: $116,528 purse, 2-year-old fillies, 5 ½ furlongs on dirt
Weather Forecast: Forecast calls for showers and humid conditions; track could start fast but may downgrade to good/sloppy if rain intensifies.
Field Size: 9 fillies entered
Runner-by-Runner Analysis
1. Signal Chat (20-1)
Form: 0-for-2; hasn’t shown much yet.
Connections: Rachel Sells barn; Alvarado rides.
Verdict: Needs major improvement; outsider.
2. Oriole Way (5-2)
Form: 1st and 2nd in two starts; strong figures.
Connections: Felix Flores-Coba trains; Ruiz aboard.
Verdict: Logical favorite; tactical speed and class.
3. Liberty’s Advance (10-1)
Form: First-time starter; Constitution filly.
Connections: Charlton Baker barn; Worrie up.
Verdict: Dangerous debutante; watch tote board.
4. Margarita Molly (4-1)
Form: 3rd on debut; improving.
Connections: Keri Brion trains; Gutierrez rides.
Verdict: Live contender; could step forward second out.
5. Oh (3-1)
Form: Won debut stylishly; high speed rating.
Connections: Maker/Santana Jr. combo is powerful.
Verdict: Major player; could go favored.
6. Honest Reason (12-1)
Form: Honest Mischief filly; modest debut.
Connections: Dixon/Cruz team.
Verdict: Needs pace meltdown; fringe chance.
7. Felix’s Flower (20-1)
Form: Debut filly by Mendelssohn; limited buzz.
Connections: Sells/Flores.
Verdict: Long odds reflect uphill task.
8. Mobelladream (5-1)
Form: Mo Town filly; solid early efforts.
Connections: Ferraro/Perez combo strong locally.
Verdict: Contender; could upset if pace collapses.
9. Lovely Pashyn (8-1)
Form: Practical Joke filly; competitive debut.
Connections: Paul Barrow barn; De Diego rides.
Verdict: Value play; could sneak into exotics.
Pace & Race Shape
Early Speed: Oh (5), Oriole Way (2)
Stalkers: Margarita Molly (4), Mobelladream (8)
Closers: Lovely Pashyn (9), Honest Reason (6)
Expect Oh and Oriole Way to duel early; if the track is wet, speed may hold. If pace is hot, Mobelladream and Lovely Pashyn could capitalize late.
Suggested Wagers
Win/Place: #5 Oh (3-1)
Value Win Saver: #8 Mobelladream (5-1)
Exacta: 5 over 2,4,8
Trifecta: 5 / 2,8 / 2,4,8,9
Superfecta (small units): 5 / 2 / 8,4 / 9,6
