Race Overview
Race Name: California Thoroughbred Breeders’ Association Stakes
Track: Del Mar Racecourse, CA
Surface: Dirt
Distance: 5 furlongs
Purse: $100,000
Eligibility: 2-Year-Old Fillies bred in California
Post Time: 6:32 PM PT
This sprint stakes showcases California-bred juvenile fillies, many of whom are making their stakes debut. With speed being paramount over five furlongs, expect a fast and furious dash to the wire.
Horse-by-Horse Analysis
1. Lady Victoria
Pedigree: Sir Prancealot (IRE) × Weekfair (FR)
Jockey: Edwin A. Maldonado
Trainer: Jesus Mendoza
Odds: 20/1
Notes: Lightly raced filly with modest form. Pedigree leans turf, but she’ll need a big step forward to contend.
2. What’s a Good Name
Pedigree: Grazen × That’s the Idea
Jockey: Juan J. Hernandez
Trainer: Peter Miller
Odds: 5/1
Notes: Comes off a win and has a strong local pedigree. Miller excels with juveniles, and Hernandez is a top Del Mar rider. Major threat.
3. Tapatia Mia
Pedigree: Stay Thirsty × Sweet Lips Pooh
Jockey: Ruben Silvera
Trainer: Steve R. Knapp
Odds: 4/1
Notes: Debut winner with sharp early speed. Knapp has a strong record with precocious fillies. Could be the pace setter.
4. Lino’s Angel
Pedigree: Uncle Lino × Endless Thirst
Jockey: Tyler Baze
Trainer: Edwin G. Alvarez
Odds: 12/1
Notes: Solid win last out but needs to improve to match top contenders. Baze adds experience in the saddle.
5. My Love Caroline
Pedigree: Stay Thirsty × Spring Moon
Jockey: Armando Ayuso
Trainer: Jorge Periban
Odds: 10/1
Notes: Consistent filly with good finishing ability. Ayuso is riding well and could sneak into the exotics.
6. Liberation
Pedigree: Omaha Beach × Ponytail
Jockey: Hector Isaac Berrios
Trainer: John W. Sadler
Odds: 8/5 (Morning Line Favorite)
Notes: Highly regarded filly with elite connections. Omaha Beach progeny are excelling early. Sadler and Berrios are a lethal combo.
7. Jasmina
Pedigree: Listing × Charred Rare
Jockey: Kyle Frey
Trainer: Simon Callaghan
Odds: 7/2
Notes: Strong debut win and bred for speed. Callaghan is known for developing young talent. Dangerous if she breaks well.
8. Mustang Knicky
Pedigree: Knicks Go × Vision of Justice
Jockey: Antonio Fresu
Trainer: Steve R. Knapp
Odds: 12/1
Notes: Intriguing pedigree with speed influence. Fresu is sharp on sprinters. Could surprise with a clean trip.
| Position | Horse | Reasoning |
| 1st | Liberation | Class edge, top pedigree, elite connections |
| 2nd | Tapatia Mia | Early speed, strong debut, tactical advantage |
| 3rd | Jasmina | Sharp debut, well-bred, improving filly |
Win Bet: Liberation
Exacta Box: Liberation / Tapatia Mia / Jasmina
Trifecta Play: Liberation over Tapatia Mia and Jasmina
Longshot to Watch: Mustang Knicky – sneaky pedigree and improving form
