Horse Race Preview: Grade III Ohio Derby at Thistledown

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This $500,000 Grade 3 stakes for three-year-olds will be contested over 1 1/8 miles (9 furlongs) on dirt, and features a deep field of 10, including Triple Crown alumni, graded stakes performers, and local upstarts.

Race Overview: 2025 Ohio Derby at Thistledown

  • Race: Ohio Derby (G3) – Race 12
  • Track: Thistledown
  • Surface: Dirt
  • Distance: 1 1/8 miles (9 furlongs)
  • Purse: $500,000
  • Eligibility: 3-Year-Olds
  • Post Time: 6:20 PM ET
  • Wagering: Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Pick 4

This year’s Ohio Derby features Preakness participant Clever Again, Kentucky Derby runner Chunk of Gold, and Peter Pan Stakes runner-up McAfee, setting up a compelling clash of class, speed, and redemption arcs.

Horse-by-Horse Analysis with Jockeys, Trainers & Pedigrees

PostHorseJockeyTrainerPedigree (Sire – Dam)Odds
1Brereton’s BaytownMarshall MendezPaul McEnteeUpstartKika30-1
2Chunk of GoldJareth LoveberryEthan WestPreservationistPlay for Gold7-2
3Capo LucaLuis GonzalezKim PuhlLaobanBetter Not Cry10-1
4McAfeeJohn VelazquezRick Dutrow Jr.Cloud ComputingSataves3-1
5ExtraditionRocco BowenJason DaCostaGun RunnerIf Not For Her20-1
6Clever AgainJose OrtizSteve AsmussenAmerican PharoahFlattering (IRE)9-5 (Fav)
7Bohemian StyleIsrael RodriguezNestor RiveraCajun BreezeScandalous Act30-1
8CurvinoMike SmithPeter MillerVino RossoQueenie’s Pride12-1
9Master ControllerChris EmighBrittany Vanden BergTapitureKey Is to Win20-1
10Mo PlexJoseph RamosJeremiah EnglehartComplexityMo Joy6-1

Top Contenders to Watch

Clever Again (Post 6)

  • Trainer: Steve Asmussen
  • Jockey: Jose Ortiz
  • Form: Winner of Hot Springs Stakes; 9th in Preakness
  • Speed Figure: 108 (Hot Springs)
  • Analysis: The son of American Pharoah is the class of the field, boasting the highest Equibase Speed Figure. He’s expected to control the pace from a favorable post and could wire the field if left alone.

McAfee (Post 4)

  • Trainer: Rick Dutrow Jr.
  • Jockey: John Velazquez
  • Form: 2nd in G3 Peter Pan; half-brother to Thorpedo Anna
  • Speed Figure: 98
  • Analysis: Improving colt with tactical speed and strong pedigree. Blinkers helped in the Peter Pan, and he’s poised for a breakthrough.

Chunk of Gold (Post 2)

  • Trainer: Ethan West
  • Jockey: Jareth Loveberry
  • Form: 9th in Kentucky Derby; 2nd in G2 Louisiana Derby
  • Speed Figure: 96
  • Analysis: Cinderella story with a gritty running style. If the pace collapses, he’ll be flying late.

Live Longshots & Value Plays

  • Mo Plex (Post 10): Stakes winner at 7F; stretching out for the first time. Dangerous if he handles two turns.
  • Capo Luca (Post 3): 3-for-3 at Thistledown; local hero with tactical speed. Faces class test but loves the surface.
  • Master Controller (Post 9): Recent maiden winner with early speed. Could hang on for a share.

Race Strategy & Pace Scenario

  • Expected Pace: Honest to fast. Clever Again, Mo Plex, and Master Controller all have early foot.
  • Closers: Chunk of Gold, McAfee, and Curvino will look to capitalize late.
  • Key Matchup: Clever Again vs McAfee – front-end control vs stalking class.

Projected Order of Finish

  1. Clever Again
  2. McAfee
  3. Chunk of Gold
  4. Mo Plex
  5. Capo Luca