Horse Race Preview: Grade III Matt Winn Stakes at Churchill Downs

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Race Details

  • Event: Matt Winn Stakes (G3)
  • Date: Sunday, June 8, 2025
  • Time: 4:22 PM ET
  • Venue: Churchill Downs, Louisville, KY
  • Distance: 1 1/16 miles (Dirt)
  • Purse: $400,000
  • Eligible Horses: 3-Year-Olds

Field Overview & Contenders

The Matt Winn Stakes at Churchill Downs features a competitive field of seven 3-year-olds, including five Kentucky Derby alumni looking to rebound after their performances in the Run for the Roses. This race serves as a key post-Triple Crown reset, allowing promising horses to regain momentum in their careers.

Top Horses to Watch

  1. Gaming (Game Winner x So Stylish)
    • Trainer: Bob Baffert
    • Jockey: Florent Geroux
    • Owner: Mike Pegram, Karl Watson & Paul Weitman
    • Career Record: 5 starts – 2 wins, 1 place, 1 show
    • Key Strengths: Speed and tactical versatility; finished third in the Pat Day Mile (G2).
  2. Final Gambit (Not This Time x Pachinko)
    • Trainer: Brad Cox
    • Jockey: Flavien Prat
    • Owner: Juddmonte
    • Career Record: 6 starts – 2 wins, 2 places, 1 show
    • Key Strengths: Strong closer; finished fourth in the Kentucky Derby (G1).
  3. Chunk of Gold (Preservationist x Play for Gold)
    • Trainer: Ethan West
    • Jockey: Jareth Loveberry
    • Owner: Terry Stephens
    • Career Record: 6 starts – 1 win, 2 places, 1 show
    • Key Strengths: Consistent performer; finished ninth in the Kentucky Derby.
  4. Just a Fair Shake (Laoban x Ladymidtown)
    • Trainer: Daniel McKenzie
    • Jockey: Jaime Rodriguez
    • Owner: LaShawna Lynch
    • Career Record: 5 starts – 1 win, 3 places, 1 show
    • Key Strengths: Underdog with potential; finished second in the Sir Barton Stakes.
  5. Burnham Square (Liam’s Map x Linda)
    • Trainer: Ian Wilkes
    • Jockey: Brian Hernandez Jr.
    • Owner: Whitham Thoroughbreds
    • Career Record: 7 starts – 2 wins, 2 places, 1 show
    • Key Strengths: Versatile runner; finished sixth in the Kentucky Derby after a troubled trip.
  6. Coal Battle (Coal Front x Wolfblade)
    • Trainer: Lonnie Briley
    • Jockey: Corey Lanerie
    • Owner: Norman Stables
    • Career Record: 9 starts – 5 wins, 1 place, 1 show
    • Key Strengths: Proven stakes performer; won the Rebel Stakes (G2) earlier this year.
  7. East Avenue (Medaglia d’Oro x Dance Music)
  • Trainer: Brendan Walsh
  • Jockey: Luis Saez
  • Owner: Godolphin
  • Career Record: 8 starts – 3 wins, 2 places, 1 show
  • Key Strengths: Front-runner with stamina; finished eighth in the Kentucky Derby.

Race Strategy & Betting Insights

  • Pace Projection: Expect East Avenue to set the early pace, with Gaming pressing from the inside. Final Gambit and Coal Battle will likely close late.
  • Best Bet: Final Gambit to Win – He has elite closing speed and a top trainer-jockey combo.
  • Value Bet: Burnham Square to Place – He had a troubled trip in the Derby but has proven class.
  • Longshot Play: Just a Fair Shake to Show – He has hit the board in all five career starts.