Horse Race Preview: Grade II Chicago Stakes at Churchill Downs

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This seven-furlong dirt sprint for fillies and mares, 4 years old and up, offers a $300,000 purse and features a deep, competitive field of 11 runners.

Race Overview: 2025 Chicago Stakes at Churchill Downs

  • Race: Grade II Chicago Stakes
  • Track: Churchill Downs
  • Surface: Dirt
  • Distance: 7 furlongs
  • Purse: $300,000
  • Eligibility: Fillies & Mares, 4YO+
  • Post Time: 10:11 PM ET (Race 9)
  • Where to Watch: FanDuel TV, FOX Sports, TwinSpires

This year’s edition features a blend of established graded stakes winners, emerging sprinters, and local specialists, including defending champion Vahva, Grade II winner Emery, and Churchill specialist My Mane Squeeze.

Horse-by-Horse Analysis with Jockeys, Trainers & Pedigrees

PostHorseTrainerJockeyPedigreeMorning Line
1EmeryBrad CoxFlorent GerouxMore Than ReadyEmbur’s Song5-2 (Fav)
2Mink’s PalaceEddie KenneallyBen CurtisPalace MaliceMink’s Apron12-1
3Gray LightningArmando HernandezWalter RodriguezGraydarLightning Lucy30-1
4BrightworkJohn OrtizBrian Hernandez Jr.OutworkClarendon Fancy10-1
5VahvaCherie DeVauxIrad Ortiz Jr.Gun RunnerHoliday Soiree3-1
6Marmalade SkyeDavid JacobsonIrving MoncadaSky MesaOrange Marmalade20-1
7Harbor SpringsGreg FoleyEdgar MoralesInto MischiefSpring Party20-1
8PigalleBrendan WalshTyler GaffalioneSpeightstownParisian Affair15-1
9My Mane SqueezeMike MakerLuis SaezAudibleMy Dinah Lee6-1
10Claret BeretSaffie Joseph Jr.Julien LeparouxArmy MuleRed Beret15-1
11ZeitlosSteve AsmussenFlavien PratGhostzapperTimeless Indy8-1

Key Contenders to Watch

Emery (Post 1)

  • Trainer: Brad Cox
  • Jockey: Florent Geroux
  • Record: 10: 5-3-0
  • Notable Wins: G2 Raven Run, Leslie’s Lady Overnight
  • Analysis: Tactical speed and rail draw make her dangerous. Proven at 7 furlongs and owns a win over the Churchill surface. If she breaks cleanly, she could control the pace.

Vahva (Post 5)

  • Trainer: Cherie DeVaux
  • Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr.
  • Record: 14: 6-3-2
  • Notable Wins: G1 Derby City Distaff, 2024 Chicago Stakes
  • Analysis: Classy closer who needs a fast pace. Has struggled since her Breeders’ Cup flop but is undefeated over fast Churchill dirt. Dangerous if she rebounds.

My Mane Squeeze (Post 9)

  • Trainer: Mike Maker
  • Jockey: Luis Saez
  • Record: 11: 5-2-2
  • Notable Wins: G2 Eight Belles, G3 Dogwood
  • Analysis: 2-for-2 at Churchill and excels at 7 furlongs. Consistent and versatile, she’ll be rolling late.

Zeitlos (Post 11)

  • Trainer: Steve Asmussen
  • Jockey: Flavien Prat
  • Record: 18: 7-4-2
  • Notable Wins: Skipat Stakes, Open Mind
  • Analysis: Enters off a sharp win at Pimlico. Has tactical speed and is dangerous second off the layoff.

Recent Form & Prep Races

  • Emery and Vahva both exit the G1 Derby City Distaff, finishing 5th and 7th respectively on a sloppy track.
  • Zeitlos won the Skipat Stakes on Preakness weekend.
  • My Mane Squeeze was third in the G2 Ruffian at Aqueduct.
  • Brightwork and Mink’s Palace exit the G3 Winning Colors.
  • Claret Beret won a Gulfstream handicap by nearly 20 lengths.

Race Strategy & Pace Scenario

  • Pace Projection: Moderate. Emery and Gray Lightning are the likely pace-setters.
  • Closers: Vahva, Zeitlos, My Mane Squeeze, and Brightwork will be flying late.
  • Wild Cards: Pigalle and Claret Beret are stepping up in class but have upside.

Projected Order of Finish

  1. Emery
  2. My Mane Squeeze
  3. Vahva
  4. Zeitlos
  5. Brightwork