Horse Race Preview: Grade I Preakness Stakes at Pimlico

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The 150th running of the Preakness Stakes, the second jewel of the Triple Crown, is set to take place at Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore. With a $2 million purse, this race will feature a competitive field of nine three-year-olds, including three Kentucky Derby runners and several fresh contenders looking to make their mark.

Field Overview: Horses, Jockeys & Trainers

1. Goal Oriented (Trainer: Bob Baffert | Jockey: Flavien Prat)

  • Pedigree: Not This Time – Bizzy Caroline
  • Morning Line Odds: 6-1
  • Analysis: Undefeated in two career starts, including a front-running allowance win at Churchill Downs. Baffert has won the Preakness eight times, making this colt a serious contender.

2. Journalism (Trainer: Michael McCarthy | Jockey: Umberto Rispoli)

  • Pedigree: Curlin – Mopotism
  • Morning Line Odds: 8-5 (Favorite)
  • Analysis: Kentucky Derby runner-up, finishing 1½ lengths behind Sovereignty. Won four straight races in California before the Derby, including the Santa Anita Derby (G1). The one to beat.

3. American Promise (Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas | Jockey: Nik Juarez)

  • Pedigree: Justify – Tapella
  • Morning Line Odds: 15-1
  • Analysis: Finished 16th in the Kentucky Derby after pressing the early pace. Lukas has seven Preakness victories, making this colt an intriguing longshot.

4. Heart of Honor (Trainer: Jamie Osborne | Jockey: Saffie Osborne)

  • Pedigree: Honor A. P. – Ruby Love
  • Morning Line Odds: 12-1
  • Analysis: A European-bred colt who finished second in the UAE Derby (G2). Has international experience but must prove he can handle American dirt racing.

5. Pay Billy (Trainer: Michael Gorham | Jockey: Raul E. Mena)

  • Pedigree: Improbable – Harlington’s Rose
  • Morning Line Odds: 20-1
  • Analysis: Earned his way into the Preakness by winning the Federico Tesio Stakes at Laurel Park. A local hopeful with longshot potential.

6. River Thames (Trainer: Todd Pletcher | Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr.)

  • Pedigree: Maclean’s Music – Proportionality
  • Morning Line Odds: 9-2
  • Analysis: Skipped the Kentucky Derby to target the Preakness. Has strong tactical speed and could be a major factor.

7. Sandman (Trainer: Mark Casse | Jockey: John R. Velazquez)

  • Pedigree: Tapit – Distorted Music
  • Morning Line Odds: 4-1
  • Analysis: Finished seventh in the Kentucky Derby. Has solid stamina and could improve with a better trip.

8. Clever Again (Trainer: Steven Asmussen | Jockey: Jose Ortiz)

  • Pedigree: American Pharoah – Flattering
  • Morning Line Odds: 5-1
  • Analysis: A lightly raced colt with a blazing speed figure of 101 in his last race. Could be dangerous if he gets a clean break.

9. Gosger (Trainer: Brendan Walsh | Jockey: Luis Saez)

  • Pedigree: Nyquist – Gloria S
  • Morning Line Odds: 20-1
  • Analysis: A longshot with solid closing ability. Needs a fast pace to set up his late run.

Race Strategy & Predictions

  • Pace Projection: Expect a fast early pace, with Goal Oriented and Clever Again likely to push forward.
  • Key Contenders: Journalism is the favorite, but Sandman and River Thames could pose a challenge.
  • Potential Longshot: Pay Billy has local experience and could surprise with a well-timed move.