Venue & Race Details
Circuit: Autodromo Nazionale Monza
Location: Monza, Italy
Date: Sunday, September 7, 2025
Race Start: 15:00 local (CEST) 09:00 ET 06:00 PT
Laps / Distance: 53 laps / 306.72 km
Layout: 5.793 km high-speed circuit with long straights, tight chicanes, and legendary corners like Lesmo, Ascari, and Parabolica.
Weather Forecast (Monza – Race Weekend)
Friday & Saturday: Hot and sunny, highs ~27°C
Sunday: Warm (~27°C), more cloud cover but dry
Impact: Stable, dry conditions mean maximum downforce trade-offs for straight-line speed.
Championship Context
Drivers’ Standings: Oscar Piastri leads by 34 points over McLaren teammate Lando Norris after Zandvoort.
Ferrari Focus: Home race after a double DNF heartbreak in the Netherlands; special retro livery marking 50 years since Niki Lauda’s first title.
Mercedes Spotlight: Rookie Kimi Antonelli’s home GP; Toto Wolff frames it as part of his “year of learning”.
Other Headlines: Lewis Hamilton carries a five-place grid penalty for a yellow flag infringement.
Rising Star: Isack Hadjar arrives off a maiden podium for Racing Bulls at Zandvoort.
Team & Driver Notes
Ferrari: Charles Leclerc and Kimi Antonelli under pressure to deliver for the tifosi; expect low-drag setups.
McLaren: Piastri in commanding form; Norris needs a strong result to keep title hopes alive.
Red Bull: Verstappen lurking; Monza’s DRS zones could play to RB’s straight-line strengths.
Mercedes: Balancing rookie development with points haul; Antonelli’s first Monza F1 start.
Racing Bulls: Riding momentum from Hadjar’s podium; home race for the Faenza-based team.
Circuit Characteristics
Top Speed: ~360 km/h with DRS
Key Overtake Zones: Turn 1 (Rettifilo chicane), Turn 8 (Ascari entry), Turn 11 (Parabolica exit into main straight)
Tyre Strategy: Likely one-stop (Medium–Hard) due to low degradation; softs may appear in qualifying only.
Braking: Heavy braking into chicanes; brake wear is a factor.
Recent Italian GP Winners
2024: Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)
2023: Max Verstappen (Red Bull)
2022: Max Verstappen (Red Bull)
2021: Daniel Ricciardo (McLaren)
Betting & Form Guide (indicative)
Favourites: Piastri, Verstappen, Norris
Dark Horses: Leclerc (Ferrari home boost), Hadjar (momentum)
Qualifying Importance: Pole at Monza has converted to victory in 4 of the last 6 races.
Trends & Insights
Monza rewards low-drag aero and power unit efficiency.
Safety Car probability is moderate; first-lap incidents at Turn 1 are common.
Ferrari historically finds extra pace here — crowd energy can be worth tenths.
Race Outlook
Expect a flat-out, low-downforce battle with slipstream trains and strategic DRS use. McLaren and Red Bull arrive as the form teams, but Ferrari’s home advantage and the emotional lift from the tifosi could make them giant-killers. With the championship tightening and multiple storylines — from rookie breakthroughs to title-defining moments — Monza 2025 is set to deliver another classic.
DRIVER ODDS
Oscar Piastri + 135
Lando Norris + 135
Charles Leclerc + 500
Max Verstappen + 750
George Russell + 4000
Lewis Hamilton + 4500
Carlos Sainz + 5500
Alexander Albon + 6500
Andrea Kimi Antonelli + 8000
Yuki Tsunoda + 25000
Isack Hadjar + 25000
Nico Hulkenberg + 30000
Liam Lawson + 30000
Gabriel Bortoleto + 30000
Fernando Alonso + 30000
Oliver Bearman + 40000
Lance Stroll + 40000
Esteban Ocon + 40000
Pierre Gasly + 50000
Franco Colapinto + 60000
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, September 5, 2025
